Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Alyssa Thomas missed two late free throws, and the Mercury let go of Game 1 of the Finals in Las Vegas

The game rested in Alyssa Thomas’ hands as she stepped to the line down one with 24.6 seconds left, but she gagged both attempts. The Mercury lost 89-86 moments after blanking a poorly designed sideline out-of-bounds play.

 

Somewhere, Nick Anderson let out a sigh of relief at being replaced as a late-game choker. The blunder was the equivalent of a boxer having an opponent wounded in the corner, and then getting knocked out before finishing the job. 

 

Now one is left to wonder how much psychological damage this will inflict on Phoenix. And considering Thomas’ below-average accuracy in the regular season and playoffs at the welfare line, the Aces may want her there again late in Game 2.

 

 Kahleah Copper’s sweet-shooting first half, and Thomas’ work in that time getting to the cylinder became a footnote of history. Instead, Aj’a Wilson’s late six points, Dana Evans’ three enormous triples, and Jackie Young’s go-ahead freebies will be remembered for saving the night in Game 1 of the WNBA’s first best-of-seven Finals.

 

Copper was asked at her postgame interview if she needed to do anything to console Thomas, but she responded, “Nah. She good.”

 

But I don’t know if she was. She looked scared senseless, like an apparition had appeared with a dire warning. The first miss was so bad, it inspired zero confidence in thinking she’d make the second. Thomas did not attend the post-game press conference.

 

Of course, the series is far from over, and Phoenix is capable of winning on tour, as they did in New York and Minnesota during this postseason, yet the road to the Finals has revealed that the Aces are scarier than many imagined, including this scribe. 

 

Never forget how the Aces were dropped by Minnesota to 14-14, getting mowed down at home by 53. They were dead, then they won every game left (30-14), claimed the second seed and took out Seattle and Indiana. 

 

The Aces only made a third of their 3-point tries, and Young plus Wilson shot way below their averages. Some of that will continue because Phoenix is the bigger and more athletic team, but they can’t close another game shooting 33% in hostile territory and expect to go home with a stalemate. The Aces’ best players are too seasoned as back-to-back champions to make it anything short of a struggle until the end.

 

Satou Sabally needs to stay locked in because her outbursts, like the one that gave her a technical foul late, will make her a target.  But most importantly, Thomas owes the Mercury a game, and so does Copper for doing nada offensively in 10 fourth-quarter minutes.



Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Labor champion Napheesa Collier epically rips WNBA leadership

Napheesa Collier threw a grenade in Cathy Engelbert’s lap, undercutting her in such epic fashion that it left her scrambling for a weak response that doesn’t deny the harshest claims.

 

Collier accused Engelbert of 1. saying Caitlin Clark, of all people, should be “grateful” to the WNBA for her riches. 2. Alleged she said the ladies should be submitting on their knees because of the media rights deal Engelbert got them. And 3. Said the commish said that players who complain about refereeing are losers.

 

If all of this is true, Engelbert is miserably cosplaying David Stern, and it should mortify league partners. Examine her statement below:

 

“I have the utmost respect for Napheesa Collier and for all the players in the WNBA.

Together we have all worked tirelessly to transform this league. My focus remains on ensuring a bright future for the players and the WNBA, including collaborating on how we continue to elevate the game. I am disheartened by how Napheesa characterized our conversations and league leadership, but even when our perspectives differ, my commitment to the players and to this work will not waver.”

 

Collier said she anticipates a fine but might get suspended like her coach, Cheryl Reeve, did for going hard at the league. But her being one of the founding members of Unrivaled, the women’s professional three-versus-three league, headquartered in Miami, is a bigger threat to the W by the day. 

 

Recent fines to coaches Becky Hammon (Aces) and Stephanie White (Fever) for saying Reeve wasn’t lying and supporting her call for a change of leadership “at the league level when it comes to officiating” have added more gasoline to the standoff coming up at the upcoming CBA meetings. Goodness willing someone wears a wire and it leaks. 

 

And aside from Clark not needing the WNBA because she became one of the biggest stars on the planet at Iowa, and could’ve gone to wherever if she wanted to and the league would be SOL, Engelbert should crack down on the poor officiating and physical play that’s going to get players hurt. 

 

Anyone with eyes and critical thinking skills can tell the refs are some of the worst in pro sports, based on how long they take to review consequential possessions on a challenge or foul, or when they don’t have the nerve to throw someone out for excessive force. Engelbert thinks she’s gonna grow the league mimicking the ‘80s NBA model to the bone, but it’s a lousy idea aside from putting the stars on TV more. She already did the black-and-white comparisons with Clark, the white woman and Angel Reese, the black woman, but letting prison ball continue in the WNBA cheapens the game; don’t be surprised when a player tries to enact justice themselves. 

 

Never forget that Alyssa Thomas was not suspended for violently dropping Reese or that Diana Taurasi wasn’t either for taking out Cheyenne Parker-Tyus late in a game, both happening in 2024. DiJonai Carrington pulled rookie Sarah Ashlee Barker by her hair down this year, and she wasn’t suspended either. It means nothing when the league says, “All games are reviewed,” when they fail as oversight.

 

UCONN women’s basketball coach Geno Auriemma lambasted the WNBA on Friday. Unfortunately for the league, they can’t sanction him for saying, “On a daily basis, I think the WNBA game is not conducive to like great basketball. You can spin it any way you want. There’s more viewers, there’s more that. That’s great, that doesn’t mean it’s a better game just because more people are watching…”

 

Fever switchblade Lexie Hull agreed with everything Collier said publicly. Clark missed an opportunity to use her status to pressure the league and gave a no comment, which ESPN’s Alexa Philippou first reported. 

 

Liberty guard Natasha Cloud tweeted that the players are behind Collier. 

 

Collier’s comments instantly became the biggest story in professional basketball. We are all about to find out if Engelbert is ready to deal with the heat that comes with it. 

 

 



Mateo’s Hoop Diary: “We gotta keep the main thing the main thing,”: The Fever took first blood against the Aces

Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston upstaged A’ja Wilson’s MVP coronation, seizing Game 1 in Las Vegas for the Indiana Fever. The visitors were huge underdogs for the series because the Aces had won 18 out of 19 games since Aug. 3, but none of that mattered. Odyssey Sims said both teams were 0-0 at the last practice before the opener, and if anyone wasn’t sure they mean business, pay attention now.

 

The Fever don’t need Caitlin and the injured Clarkettes to win this series. The Aces are picking poison between Mitchell and Boston, and each one is a lethal dose. Mitchell bends coverages with speed, and Boston does with unmatchable power, but the former was the offensive star of Game 1, carving schemes through the middle for layups and floaters and spraying four 3-pointers. 

 

Boston took over another way: guarding Wilson and locking her up tighter than a medieval dungeon. It was the most dominant six-point game many will probably ever see. It also exposed how ill-equipped the Aces are when Wilson isn’t on a scoring binge.

 

Holding the first four-time MVP to an off-night for a consecutive game won’t be easy, but Boston’s close-range detonation is a huge threat that wasn’t relied on in Game 1. The Aces won’t be able to contain her and Mitchell simultaneously.. 

 

Natasha Howard’s four-for-four start, plus Sims’ third-quarter outburst, were the polish on the gold bricks. Players like them tend to get loose when the defense is keying in on two potent weapons. 

 

Aces coach Becky Hammon cited a lower level of urgency for her club and said they aren’t capable “when they play like that.”

 

Fever coach Stephanie White said, “We can’t trip on anything that’s behind us. We can’t look too far forward and too far in front of us because that’s when you start to lose your focus. We try and we’ve talked about it since day one. We gotta keep the main thing the main thing…”

 

 Game 2 is on Tuesday in Las Vegas and Game 3 is on Friday in Indiana. Game 4 & 5 if necessary would be in Indiana on Sunday and in Las Vegas on Sept. 30.

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Tyler Herro is out for some time and what it means

The Heat are losing a significant piece of their firepower to start the season, as Tyler Herro will be out for an unspecified time as he recovers from foot/ankle surgery. He had a career year as an All-Star and was one of 10 players to log at least 23 points on a minimum 56 effective field goal percentage in 2024-25. 

 

His absence hurts the Heat further because he is an effective passer, recording a 2.1 assist-to-turnover ratio. He also has the top connection with Bam Adebayo. 

 

Despite training camp opening on Sept. 29 and no rotations having been finalized, it seems that there are three starters in waiting: Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, and recently acquired Norman Powell. The best route for the starting lineup in this stretch is Davion Mitchell and Nikola Jović joining them. 

 

Mitchell’s point-of-attack defense is measurably superior to Herro’s despite being only 6-foot-2 with a 6-foot-4 wingspan. His screen navigation with Wiggins and Adebayo’s speed, length, and mobility is a lot to work with. 

 

The drop-off is on offense as Mitchell can’t be depended on to create his own shot, but he can be a good connector for others. He averaged 5.4 assists and a 3.0 assist-to-turnover ratio in 37 games as a starter in 2024-25. Fifteen starts were with the Heat, and 22 were with the Toronto Raptors.

 

Jović has been developing for three seasons. The natural progression for a young player is being a starter by then, and he probably was the best option for the last spot before Herro’s surgery because of his versatility and Kel’el Ware having done less to earn it. 

 

Jović is Miami’s no.1 transition option at 6-foot-10 and is a decent perimeter release valve. He’ll take his game to the next level when he becomes a more reliable slasher, which he should have more opportunities for now. He’s got the potential to be more of a disruptor as a helper and post defender, too. 

 

While the Heat has respectable pieces to move up on the rotation, the most help has to come from Adebayo, Wiggins and Powell as they can do the most heavy lifting as two-way players. 

 

Adebayo can’t have a poor start to the season like last year, losing his confidence on offense. If he can get back to nailing 10-16 foot baskets at 49% accuracy like in 2022-23, he should be a nice weapon to run two-man sets with Wiggins and Powell.  

 

Powell will presumably have added ball-handling duties, but he is better at working off-ball. Expect to see more of Wiggins taking the ball up court, which he did in Golden State to take 10 eyes off Curry, to take pressure off Adebayo and Powell. If they play at the level they are known for, they can be decently over .500 with a handful of games by the time Herro returns.

 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Fourth-quarter comeback saves the Storm, forces Game 3

The Seattle Storm were a quarter away from having their season packed up by the visiting Las Vegas Aces, but Erica Wheeler and Skylar Diggins sprayed 11 points apiece in the fourth quarter to force Game 3. 

 

After the game, Nneka Ogwumike said the Storm are not unfamiliar with tight matches or playing from behind. She also added that they “had a concerted effort to exploit the switch” from Las Vegas’ scheme. 

 

A 23-8 run handed the Aces their first loss after 16 straight wins and two nights after pistol-whipping the Storm by 25 in Las Vegas. No one was more relieved than Seattle coach Noelle Quinn, who is likely close to being ejected from her seat.  

 

The hosts fell behind by as much as 12 in the final sequence, but Diggins started the avalanche, tying the game on a screen-roll floater. 

 

Wheeler had struggled three quarters, missing all five attempts, and checked in with seven minutes left for Brittney Sykes, who was invisible. The latter was the All-Star Seattle brought in via trade on Aug. 5 from Washington, and she was scoreless on Sunday, too.

 

Everything changed as Wheeler made a pull-up trey in NaLyssa Smith’s face in transition. She also curled behind a dribble handoff and fired from the middle, splashed a trifecta from the left corner and poured in a long pull-up two-pointer over Chelsea Gray. 

 

Sykes returned after a subsequent Las Vegas timeout with 31 seconds left to defend the inbound, but Seattle got bailed out because Gray threw her pass off target to Jackie Young. Then Diggins buried another floater in the lane, giving Seattle an 86-83 lead. 

 

Quinn credited rookie Dominique Malonga for holding reigning MVP A’ja Wilson scoreless in the last seven minutes. “We knew that A’ja is a load. If we can keep her to her average, that’s a plus for us.”

 

Game 3 is on Thursday in Las Vegas. 



Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Angel Reese has put the Chicago Sky on notice

Angel Reese is a star and has no issues throwing her weight around on and off the court, even at the expense of her teammates. Her second season has five games left, but the start to her career has been spent on a team far away from doing anything serious because of internal drama, injuries and a limited, rebuilding roster. That’s not good enough for Reese, a college champion at LSU who also led Saint Frances Academy in Baltimore to three straight championships. 

 

She said, “… I’d like to be here for my career, but if things don’t pan out, obviously I might have to move in a different direction and do what’s best for me,” per the Chicago Tribune’s Julia Powe. Now her teammates are rightfully upset.

 

Now think of the Sky’s avenue to improvement. Per a press release on April 13, “In 2026, the Sky hold the rights to swap Phoenix‘s first-round pick with Connecticut’s.” Yet, they traded their 2027 FRP and the third pick in the 2025 draft, which was used on All-Star rookie Sonia Citron, for Ariel Atkins, who is in her eighth season and was formerly a two-time All-Star. Don’t forget that they also got the 11th pick in the last draft and the Lynx kept Chicago’s 2026 FRP. Hailey Van Lith, Reese’s former teammate at LSU who has struggled in her rookie campaign, was picked at 11.

 

The Sky (9-30) is one game ahead of the Dallas Wings (9-32), owners of the worst record in the league.  Can anyone foresee a bounce-back year in 2026 for the Sky? They need it for their sake, so morale isn’t zapped if they are the bottom feeders and Washington drafts superstar prospect Juju Watkins through the original Chicago pick.  

 

Reese must be looking at Phoenix’s Alyssa Thomas thinking, “Dang, give me a team like that, and we’ll be in the mix.” 

 

Reese, on top of being the most productive rebounder (by average) in WNBA history at age 23, has shown she can be a reliable playmaker, nearly doubling her assists (to 3.7 per game) on a lousy 3-point shooting team. With snipers around her, she could average two to three dimes on offensive rebounds alone because defenses are vulnerable in those situations. Eventually rivals will stop helping on her drives if she keeps burning them with a feed to the corner or wing, and when that happens, expect her accuracy to elevate at close range.

 

Additionally, Reese guards well, but needs teammates strong at checking the point of attack to maximize her impact. She can’t be next to someone who is exposed in drop coverage either. 

 

There are two things she needs to do to emulate Thomas: get stronger so opponents are at an even worse disadvantage when she dribbles toward the cylinder. The other is to keep working on her jumper, which only drops 28.2% of the time, per WNBA Stats. This season, Thomas has raised her accuracy on her jumper by 15.2%.

 

Still, Reese has played at the level of a top-15 player since her turnaround after the poor start to the season. It behooves the Sky to get her some help quickly.



The Miami Heat’s ’06 files: Setting the stage

The dream season became a nightmare as the Pistons celebrated as Eastern Conference champions in the Heat’s house following Game 7 in 2005. The hosts exited to the locker room with their pride wounded, looking like they’d seen an apparition after blowing a 3-2 lead.

 

Two sweeps against New Jersey and Washington were inconsequential because what could have gone wrong in the fourth quarter did. The Heat got away from what worked- giving it to Shaquille O’Neal- instead Dwyane Wade took bad shots and the role players did too much, including Damon Jones, whose turnover with two minutes left resulted in a Rip Hamilton pick-6, tying the game.

 

Wade said after that, “They made plays at the end, you know, that we didn’t make. That was the main thing.”

 

On the other side, Chauncey Billups buried a trifecta and coffin-closing free throws. Rasheed Wallace took the lead for good with freebies and made a vital putback with under a minute left on the next possession. 

 

The Heat’s clock management was suspect, and Wade didn’t get a clean look from deep while down four points with seven seconds left. 

 

O’Neal was the white whale that the front office acquired the previous summer, instantly elevating them to contending status. He was even better than in his last year with the Lakers after shedding around 40 pounds, too, and his presence with the remaining ingredients racked up 59 regular-season victories, the second-most in franchise history at the time. 

 

The one-two combination with O’Neal and Wade was as tough to stop as any league duo, but the latter was compromised with a rib injury suffered in Game 5 and needed an injection before tip-off of Game 7. Ron Culp, who was the Heat’s first trainer and later died in 2021 of cardiac arrest per his official obituary, applied heat to the rib area during timeouts.

 

Heat play-by-play broadcaster Eric Reid told Five Reasons Sports Network that the moment Wade got hurt was a “high point and a low point at the same point.” He tried warming up for Game 6, but never played.  

 

The Heat’s locker room was quiet after elimination because they felt they let one slip away. O’Neal’s voice usually filled every room with bass, but not this time. The Associated Press’ Tim Reynolds was present for the scene. He told FRSN, “If you weren’t within six inches of him, you couldn’t hear him.”  

 

O’Neal was pissed off not just at the outcome but at coach Stan Van Gundy as well because he wanted the ball more late. He complained to anyone who would listen about Van Gundy later that offseason. 

 

Management’s first order of business was to improve when league rules allowed. Team president Pat Riley called Wade in the summer for his input on moves and received feedback from his surprised star player. Wade publicly said on Quite Frankly with Stephen A. Smith during the 2005-06 season that the moves confused him. The changes included: 

 

-Certified playmaker Jason Williams via five-team trade from Memphis. 

 

-Top-shelf perimeter defender and 3-point marksman James Posey via five-team trade from Memphis.

 

-Antoine Walker, a former 20-point-per-game scorer, arrived via a five-team trade.

 

-Gary Payton, whom the Heat wanted for multiple years, committed on Sept. 22. Payton’s defensive prowess was instantly going to help the Heat at guarding at pick and roll, a notorious weakness for O’Neal, who was his teammate in 2003-04 in LA. 

 

-Jason Kapono, the 10th man for the Charlotte Bobcats in 2004-05, was an extra body with outside range. He signed as a free agent on Oct. 3.

 

One of the consequences of Eddie Jones’ inclusion in the Memphis trade was that more was demanded of Wade on defense. Wade added on Quite Frankly, “My concern was defensively… as a young player, I didn’t know how to take that, but I came in and worked hard to become the best defender I can for this team to help us win and still be productive on the offensive end.” The other departures included Keyon Dooling, Rasual Butler, D. Jones, Steve Smith and Christian Laettner.

 

Additionally, one advantage the Heat had going into 2005-06 was that Alonzo Mourning was arguably the best backup big man in the NBA. He was no longer the man who was second and third in consecutive years in MVP voting while winning back-to-back Defensive Player of the Year awards because of a kidney scare years earlier, but Mourning could still guard well and was a respected member of the team. He returned to the Heat on March 1, 2005.

 

Reid said, “On paper, it looked like the greatest team that the franchise had ever put together.” For that reason, the mood around the team was all or nothing. Despite Wade only going into year three, O’Neal would turn 33 that season and with limited time before his powers declined further.

 

 “Some players didn’t love how hard that training camp was,” Reynolds said. “Stan Van Gundy was the coach in that camp, but it was a Pat Riley training camp in a lot of ways.” Multiple members of the team did not show up in Heat shape.

 

While management did its job, making bold alterations for a squad nearly there, one cloud hung in the backdrop: Before the upcoming campaign, Riley said he wanted to be more hands-on with the team, unnecessarily creating speculation about Van Gundy’s job security. 

-Stay tuned for more podcasts and written episodes of the ‘06 Files during the Heat’s 2025-26 season.



 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Big-time fourth-quarter heroics saved the Sparks in the win over the touring Mystics

Kelsey Plum and Dearica Hamby kept the Sparks from folding against the visiting Mystics. Despite Washington being eliminated from playoff contention, they tried to play spoiler, hanging around until the end. Los Angeles’ flimsy playoff hopes stay alive with six games remaining, the last three being at home. 

The Sparks took first blood with a 12-0 run. They flashed a 2-3 zone early, plus benefited from missed open shots while holding Washington to 16.7% first-quarter shooting.  Rickea Jackson built most of LA’s 11-point lead, making two trays on and off the dribble, plus got to the line. Cameron Brink came off the bench, warping drives to the basket, too.

 

Then the Mystics tied the game with Sonia Citron on the bench by cracking the zone for an inside finish, scoring on the break after a turnover, Kiki Iriafen making a right-side jumper, Jade Melbourne downing a left-side triple, and Lucy Olsen stealing (her fourth) and scoring in Washington territory for a layup.  But the Sparks countered with a 16-7 run, pulling away in the fast lane as the visitors went cold.

 

The Sparks led 40-31 at intermission, setting an 11-2 edge in fastbreak points. Iriafen was the only Mystic starter to log more than a field goal (3), and the other four combined for 18.1% shooting in the first half. 

 

Iriafen followed up with cutting layups and a midrange jumper, but her teammates were allergic to the net for almost nine minutes. On the other side, the Sparks’ ball movement exposed the guests, and they raised their advantage to 14, but they got too comfortable. The edge was cut to six heading into the fourth on a late burst from Lucy Olsen, Emily Engstler, Shakira Austin and Citron. 

 

The Mystics were like a fighter with a second wind in the championship rounds, and they took their first lead of the game nearly 2 minutes into the fourth on a drive-and-kick triple set up for Stefanie Dolson. Yet Plum, who had made one of seven shots through three quarters, punished Washington from the outside and sliced inside, and Hamby’s rim pressure broke down the Mystics. The former had 14 of her 18 digits in the fourth. 

 

The Sparks won 81-78 while being outscored off the bench by 17. Their record improved to 18-20.

 

At her on-court interview, Plum said it’s the point of the season when everyone is tired and praised her teammates for their resolve and ball screen defense. She knew she would get loose, and they had no answers for her off-ball movement and pull-up shots when she did.  

 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: “I’m the human definition of ‘stay ready so you don’t have to get ready’”: Sims and Fever break LA’s heart

Odyssey Sims nailed a left-handed floater in the lane, lifting the Fever to their 21st win and sinking the Sparks perhaps out of the playoff race. It was her first visit back to LA against the team that waived her on July 2. Aside from the Fever exposing the paint for 52 digits, they outscored LA on second chances (16-5), on the break (13-10) and points off turnovers (23-8).

 

The Sparks had an early 10-point lead but that vanished quickly. The fourth quarter started with the Sparks ahead 58-57. Azura Stevens was a problem for the Fever as she barreled into the paint for two layups and downed a 3-pointer. But they keyed in on Rickea Jackson and Kelsey Plum, holding them to zero points on three second-half attempts. 

 

Sims totaled 21 points, including nine in the fourth quarter on runners in the lane and a wing triple, plus logged three assists and six boards. 

 

After the game, Sims said, “I haven’t been with the team long, but each practice, each game, [We’re] getting better. We have two other new players along with myself, so [we’re] continuing to gel, like [Boston] said… tonight wasn’t pretty, but the most important thing, we came out with the W.”

 

Aliyah Boston also scored six of her 22 points in the fourth quarter as the pendulum swung back and forth six times late. Notably, she missed her first five attempts but made her next 11 of 13 tries, including eight in a row between the first and third quarter.

 

Coach Stephanie White was pleased with her team’s defense and discipline. “The selfless nature of this group just can’t be overstated, and that’s why we are able to be in positions like this that we are able to be in.”

 

The Fever remain the sixth seed, three games ahead of ninth place (Sparks) and one in front of eighth (Valkyries), with five matches left on the calendar. Their games against the Sky (Sept. 5) and the Lynx (Sept. 9) will be in Indiana, but the others versus the Valkyries (Aug. 31), the Mercury (Sept. 2) and the Mystics (Sept. 7) are away.

 

 



Nikola Jović: Why All the Hype?

Nikola Jović: Why All the Hype?

Nikola Jović was drafted 27th overall in the 2022 NBA Draft by the Miami Heat. Now in his third season, he has averaged 8.7 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 2.2 assists on 45% from the field, 37% from three, and 80.4% from the line. While his growth has been steady, he has yet to play 50 games in a season due to injuries, the latest being a fractured right hand that cut short his 2024–25 campaign. Despite these setbacks, the hype around Jović is louder than ever.

I wrote this piece back in January-Nikola Jovic: The Heat’s Emerging Star

A Modern NBA Build

Standing at 6’10” and around 210 pounds, Jović possesses a coveted frame in today’s NBA. He can handle the ball, create for teammates, and stretch the floor as a shooter. The Heat drafted him as a raw prospect, but his unique blend of size and skill has always hinted at something more — a potential “point forward” who can bend defenses in multiple ways. His frame still needs added bulk for interior battles, but the foundation is there.

Career Overview and Growth Trajectory

Jović’s development has mirrored the classic Miami Heat blueprint: patient, gritty, and incremental.

  • 2022–23 (Rookie Season): Limited to 29 games due to a back injury, averaging 5.5 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 0.7 assists in 13.6 minutes. Poor perimeter shooting (22.9% from three) and defense lagged.
  • 2023–24 (Sophomore Season): Earned consistent minutes, starting in 38 of his 46 games. Averaged 7.7 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 2.0 assists in 20.5 minutes. Shot 38.7% from three, and had dependable defense, closing the season strong and building trust with coach Erik Spoelstra.
  • 2024–25 (Third Season): Career highs across the board — 10.7 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.8 assists, and nearly 83% from the line over 46 games. Shifted between starter and sixth man, thriving as a connector in the Heat’s motion offense. His best game came on February 5 vs. Philadelphia: 23 points, 5 rebounds, 7 assists. Unfortunately, his season ended early with a fractured right hand.

Why the Hype Now?

Despite being sidelined, the buzz around Jović has grown in 2025. A few reasons stand out:

  • Breakout Flashes: A 24-point playoff performance against Cleveland in April showed he can rise to big moments.
  • International Play: His work with Serbia — including games alongside Nikola Jokić — has validated his ability to run offense at a high level. First Euro Basket game, 18 PTS 4 REB 6 AST 1 STL 6/8 FGM (75 FG%) 3/4 3PM (75 3P%) 3/3 FTM (100 FT%) +36.
  • Heat Optimism: With roster turnover and head coach Erik Spoelstra praising his development, Jović is viewed as a potential cornerstone for Miami’s next era.
  • Modern Fit: In an NBA dominated by versatile forwards, Jović’s blend of size, handle, and shooting fits the archetype of players like Franz Wagner or Jayson Tatum.

ESPN’s Tim Bontemps on Nikola Jović:

“He’s had a couple nice games early for Serbia… I think there’s a real good chance he could be the starting four for the HEAT this season.”

Spoelstra on Nikola Jović’s Progression:

“Where he was as a rookie to who he’s becoming now — it’s night and day. The work ethic, the professionalism, the consistency… that’s why I’m encouraged.”

Challenges Ahead

The hype is real, but the next step requires addressing a few key gaps:

  • Durability: Staying healthy for a full season is priority number one.
  • Self-Creation: His pull-up shooting remains inconsistent, and he needs tighter handles to take on more primary creation duties.
  • Strength & Defense: Adding muscle could help him finish through contact and guard bigger wings.

2025–26 Projection via Basketball Reference

According to Basketball Reference’s projections, Jović is expected to average per-36 numbers of 15.6 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 4.0 assists on 46.8% shooting from the field, 38.6% from three, and 81.1% from the line. For a 22-year-old still carving out his role, this would represent a major leap forward in efficiency and production. If realized, it would cement his place as a key piece in Miami’s rotation and validate the growing hype surrounding him.

Final Word

Nikola Jović is not yet a star, but the ingredients are there. Miami’s development track record, paired with his modern skillset, makes him one of the most intriguing young forwards in the league. His presence will reshape the Heat’s rotation — allowing Kel’el Ware to thrive as a high-impact bench piece and giving Miami added size across all lineups. Just as importantly, Jović has shown he can work seamlessly next to Bam Adebayo, creating one of the more versatile frontcourt pairings in the East. If he can stay healthy and continue refining his game, the hype might soon feel justified — and the Heat may have found their next cornerstone.