The Pacers muffled the roars inside the cavernous Paycom Center with a 12-2 run in crunch time, ripping victory from the Thunder’s grasp to take a 1-0 lead in the Finals.  

  

The Thunder were in control for 45 minutes as their instruments of destruction dismantled defenders and held the Pacers’ half-court attack to 97.9 points per 100 plays, good enough for the 53rd percentile, per Cleaning the Glass.

 

OKC’s coach, Mark Daigneault, said the game was a starting point, not an endpoint, and his team needs to improve in Game 2.

 

The Thunder’s first change was inserting Cason Wallace for Isaiah Hartenstein in the starting lineup. Their pressure forced nine first-quarter turnovers, breaking Indiana’s rhythm like missed notes on the strings, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stabbed the paint thrice, beating Myles Turner and Andrew Nembhard on the dribble.  

 

They had a nine-point lead going into frame two and ended the half up a dozen, products of implacable hassling, raising Indiana’s turnover count to 19, Lu Dort’s three trifectas, and SGA nailing a pair of jumpers plus dribbling left through the lane for a scoop.

 

At intermission, the Pacers had four fewer field goals than giveaways. The Thunder took 18 more first-half shots and had nine points on off turnovers. Daigneault said, “We didn’t get the kind of juice for that squeeze that we normally do when we turn teams over…”

 

Then their defense started to crack in the last minute of the third quarter, giving up corner triples to Thomas Bryant and Pascal Siakam. SGA subsequently connected on a pull-up 3-pointer on the next possession, putting the Thunder up nine going into the fourth quarter. 

 

The Thunder opened the period on a 12-3 run, which included Jalen Williams’ pick-6 in their own territory, pushing the advantage to 15. OKC’s largest lead of the evening compelled coach Rick Carlisle to call a stoppage, and the Pacers followed up with a flurry, cutting the edge to eight with under eight minutes left. Then they let Indiana get within one point after Obi Toppin, Turner and Andrew Nembhard made 3-pointers, and Siakam had a key putback.

 

The Thunder were like a boxer who couldn’t put down a hurt opponent. SGA, guarded by Nembhard, missed a pull-up jumper with 11 seconds left, and Aaron Nesmith flew in for the miss. Next, Haliburton dribbled up the court, dropping a 21-foot pull-up shot on the right side, leaving .3 seconds remaining. He later said at the on-court interview that, “Coach trusts us in those moments to not call timeouts…”

 

The Pacers won 111-110 after Turner denied the lob to Chet Holmgren. They made 46.2% of 3-point attempts, their bench outscored OKC’s 39-28, and they never led until Haliburton’s jumper. Carlisle said, “We’ve had a lot of experience in these kinds of games and our guys have a real good feel for what it’s all about: giving ourselves a chance, and we got fortunate but made plays.”

 

The winner of Game 1 of the Finals on the road wins the series 44.4% of the time, per the NBA’s Facts and Figures. 

 

Game 2 is on Sunday.

 

💸 Breaking Down the Pod: Are the Miami Heat Actually “Cheap”? A Look at NBA Luxury Tax Spending Since 2012

Welcome back to Breaking Down the Pod, your fan-first breakdown of the Five on the Floor podcast. In this episode, Ethan Skolnick and Greg Sylvander dig into one of the more heated narratives surrounding the Miami Heat: Does the front office spend enough to win? And how does that compare to the rest of the NBA?

🎙️ Episode Review: NBA Luxury Tax Spending — How It Matches Up with Wins

Podcast Hosts: Ethan Skolnick & Greg Sylvander
Main Question: Are the Heat truly being outspent—or are fans misreading the big picture?
Data Source: Chart via @NBA_University (May 27, 2025)
Sponsors: PrizePicks.com (code: five), Water Cleanup of Florida
Special Offers: CigarsInternational.com (code: FIVE20), Mood.com (code: FIRST20)

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Image Used for Discussion via @NBA_University

Unpacking the Price of Success: 

The Miami Heat’s Financial and On-Court Performance Since 2012 

The Miami Heat have a funny way of being right in the middle of the pack when it comes to a lot of things—especially lately. It turns out they’re in that same middle tier when it comes to luxury tax spending since 2012. But “middle of the pack” doesn’t always tell the full story—especially when your results far exceed what others in your spending bracket have to show. 

 📊 Key Stats (2012–2025) 

• Win %: 58.5% 

• Playoff Wins: 92 

• Championships: 2 

• Luxury Tax Years: 6 

• Highest Tax Year: 2013 

• Total Tax Paid: $74,189,772 

 🔍 What the Data Reveals 

A recently compiled dataset from @NBA_University offers a fascinating glimpse into the correlation between luxury tax spending and competitive success. While some teams swing big financially for minimal return, others—like the Miami Heat—make every dollar count. 

Miami’s 58.5%-win rate since 2012 is impressive, but it’s their 92 playoff victories that place them in rare company. Only a handful of franchises can claim that level of postseason experience in that time. And perhaps most crucially, they’ve secured two NBA championships in this span, tied for second most in the league. 

💰 Spending Without Waste 

Financially, the Heat have taken a balanced approach. They’ve paid the luxury tax in six different seasons, peaking in 2013. Their total tax bill: $74 million—a substantial figure, yet modest compared to teams like the Warriors who’ve spent over $750 million. 

But unlike some franchises that have overspent into irrelevance, the Heat’s spending has been measured, strategic, and often effective. They’re firmly in the top half of tax-paying teams, but they haven’t overcommitted. This middle-ground approach has allowed them to stay competitive while retaining flexibility—something many luxury-tax teams envy. 

Now there have been many bad moves that have maybe even further limited the Heat’s success and ability to add more championships, Rozier, Whiteside, Duncan, injuries. But that is all part of the game. These deals must be assessed and criticized but the bigger picture remains.

What Ethan and Greg Had to Say

They organize the teams by tax brackets. They mention the success of the Pacers, Hawks, and Grizzlies. Paying no tax doesn’t mean that you will “suck”, but it doesn’t really equate to winning, but remember as I was told in business statistics, correlation does not mean causation. The top taxpayers are highlighted by the Warriors who have the most titles, playoff wins, and tax years all for an extra $750 million yet it’s paid off. Ethan believes that most anyone will take the tax years if the owner can handle it for the Warriors success. Value goes up etc., its business, winning brings revenue and winning builds culture.

They then go into the Clippers who just can’t get across the finish line, all this money spent with nothing to show for it (poor money spent).

Ethan- “Just spending is not enough, look at the Nets. They have been worse than the Hawks!”

Greg- “Thye are the biggest example of completely overspending and having nothing to show for it.”

Ethan was direct about two narratives that don’t hold up under scrutiny:

“There’s two cases you cannot make here—not if you’re being intellectually honest. The first is that they’re cheap. This chart doesn’t indicate that. It doesn’t show they’re the biggest spenders, but it certainly doesn’t show they’re cheap. They’ve spent when appropriate.”

He continued:

“Sometimes they’ve even tried to overspend. Giving Caleb Martin that money last year would’ve been a disaster in retrospect. They’ve generally spent in the upper third of the league—around 12th overall. So no, you can’t make the ‘cheap’ case.”

“And the other case you absolutely cannot make—and if someone is making it, I can’t respect their opinion—is that this team has been consistently mismanaged. Argue they should spend more? Fine. But say they’re mismanaged? No way.”

Greg reminds everyone how anyone would like to be in Miami’s shoes, they are the image that the league looks towards.

🗣️ What I Have to Say

This chart is revealing in all the right ways. It doesn’t just show who spends the most—it shows who spends well. And despite being in the “middle” financially, Miami shines near the top in performance. That’s no accident.

Even through some tough stretches—the Whiteside years, the injury-plagued 2020 Finals run (remember Bam and Goran?), the Rozier trade that didn’t pan out—this team has stayed competitive. They’ve missed on moves like anyone else, but those misses haven’t defined them.

This chart doesn’t tell us everything. It doesn’t account for injuries, bad luck, or market dynamics. But what it does show, loud and clear, is organizational competence.

Miami is a franchise that knows how to spend, when to spend, and when to walk away. The fact they’ve done all this without hitting Warriors-level tax numbers is even more impressive. There are at least 20 other franchises that would trade places with the Heat today, and that’s saying something.

For me this chart may not show the causation and the deeper issues, but I can promise you one thing just like Ethan said it shows you who is good at their job. 

🧭 It’s All About Perspective

In sports, everyone swings and misses—from the security guards to the concession workers, players, coaches, scouts, and even journalists. Mistakes are part of the game. Sometimes a decision doesn’t pan out. Sometimes the lights are too bright. But when missteps become patterns, that’s when there’s a problem.

Winning? There’s nothing wrong with that.

The Miami Heat aren’t in a perfect position right now, but they’ve earned the respect of everyone in the league. They’ve been here before. And if history tells us anything, it’s that they usually find a way through.

Haven’t Pat Riley and Erik Spoelstra earned that trust?

It’s okay to question decisions. That’s part of being a fan, reporter, and even just a human being, its natural. But it’s not okay to say this franchise is cheap or mismanaged—because there are at least 20 other franchises that would gladly trade places with the Miami Heat, even going back further than this chart shows.

🧠 Final Analysis: Respect Where It’s Due

The Miami Heat have not spent like the Warriors—but they haven’t needed to. They’ve maintained championship-level relevance for over a decade, and they’ve done it with fewer financial swings. Even through missteps (Rozier trade, injury years, the Whiteside saga), the franchise has stayed in the hunt.

Are they cheap? No. Are they the biggest spenders? Also no. But are they mismanaged? Absolutely not.

What this chart really shows is who knows how to build a culture, find value, and maintain competitiveness. Pat Riley and Erik Spoelstra have earned that trust, and this data reinforces why.

What is your biggest takeaway from this chart?

The Pacers were outhustled and outmuscled, plus Jalen Brunson turned into Rambo in Game 5, shifting the series back to Indiana. He scored 32 digits on 66.7% shooting, which included a 16-point blaze in the third quarter on blow-bys and jumpers.

 

Coach Rick Carlisle said his team didn’t play with the force needed, and they couldn’t generate enough traction to get out of the hole. One of the early warnings that the Pacers weren’t sharp was Andrew Nembhard aborting a layup for a pass to the corner that missed. 

 

The Pacers never led, were shut down at the rim, and were beat in two key areas: paint points 60-34 and second-chance points 13-7. Brunson and Mikal Bridges also made six shots at mid-range. 

 

Tyrese Haliburton was pressured and unable to hit shots on the move. Pascal Siakam was outplayed by Karl-Anthony Towns, who bulldozed into the lane for nine baskets. New York also won the 50-50 balls and, at one point, was in such control that they played Landry Shamet and Precious Achiuwa, their 10th and 11th men in playoff minutes.

 

The Pacers emerged from halftime down 11 and didn’t help themselves by recording more turnovers (8) than field goals (7) in the third quarter, four coming from poor passes. On top of that, the Knicks extended their edge to 22 as Deuce McBride nailed a step-back jumper over Bennedict Mathurin on the baseline at the end of the period.

 

A 12-point deficit was the closest the Pacers could get in the fourth quarter, but Josh Hart drove left on Andrew Nembhard for a two-footer and cut up the baseline for a layup, freezing Indiana’s progress. 

 

It didn’t matter that the Knicks weren’t a factor from a long-range because their inside action was like repetitive shots to the spleen, kidneys, and liver, which eventually caved the Pacers in. On the other side, the visitors were impeded in the half-court to 89.3 points per 100 plays, good enough for the 31st percentile, per Cleaning the Glass. 

 

Siakam was off target on drives and jumpers, but he was the only visiting starter to break double-figures (15) and no other logged above eight points. Their five-man unit only splashed three trifectas, too. 

 

The Pacers lost 111-94. They had their most turnovers of the playoffs (20) and made only a third of 3-point attempts.

 

After the game, Siakam said, “We fought tonight, and they were the better team…”

 

Haliburton said, “We gotta be better as a group. I think our pace has to be better, and that starts with me.”

 

Game 6 is on Saturday.