Tag Archive for: Super Bowl

Goldie’s Best Bets: Rams will be Champions

All the twists and turns of a wild NFL season have led us here: Super Bowl 56. Just like the NFL, Uncle Jeff and I have also endured our own set of twists and turns in picking games this season. After many ups and downs in a very hectic season, again I find myself completely level versus the spread. One game to go, for all the marbles and for a positive record! Win or lose, I appreciate you all for coming along for the ride… Here.. We.. Go!

 

Goldie:

All Time Record: 297-149-1          

Vs. Spread: 223-223-1

 

21-22 Season:  171-94-1               

Vs. Spread: 134-134-1

 

Conference Championship Record: 1-1          

Vs. Spread: 1-1

 

Guarantee Record: 17-15

Upset Record: 18-13              

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 36-19              

21-22 Season: 20-18       

Final 2020: 16-1

 

Super Bowl 56

Cincinnati Bengals (13-7) vs. Los Angeles Rams (15-5)

Vegas Picks: LAR -4

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 30-24

We couldn’t have asked for a more likable Super Bowl matchup. On one end you have a true Cinderella story with the Bengals making it to their first Super Bowl since ‘88, and on the other end you have veteran QB Matt Stafford who is making his first Super Bowl appearance in the midst of a tough 13 year career (thanks, Detroit). Hard to root against either team in this one. Before the season, FPI only ranked the Bengals above three teams in their odds to win the Super Bowl at +10000, or 100 to 1. Now Joe Cool has the chance to lead the Bengals to their first Super Bowl victory in franchise history, and he also has the opportunity to be the first QB ever to win the Heisman, a Collegiate National Championship and the Super Bowl. This, in just his second season. Unbelievable! However, what stands in his way is his toughest test yet. The Rams went all in on a Super Bowl this season, and they absolutely have the roster to back it up. The Rams had one of the most complete rosters in football to begin the season, and additions such as Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. have only made them stronger. Aaron Donald and that fierce Rams pass rush should have Burrow on the run (or on the ground) a lot, and unlike Tennessee, LA has a high powered offense to go along with their rock-solid defense. Burrow and the Bengals have already way outperformed expectations this season, and they’ll be competitive for years to come, but Jeffy and I agree that this is Matthew Stafford’s time. Stafford has been waiting a long 12 year career for this moment. He beat the Goat. He finally got the Rams over the 49ers hump. And now it’s time for Matt Stafford to finally get that elusive Super Bowl win. The Rams win their first Super Bowl since 1999 with a win over the Bengals! 

 

*****

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Odds to consider for Super Bowl LV: Chiefs vs. Bucs

It was a wild and bumpy ride on the COVID bus to get here, but now we are just a few days away from the big game.

 

Super Bowl LV has the young, explosive offense – and great RZ defense– of the Kansas City Chiefs playing an actual away game against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

 

I mean, what are the odds that the team from the hosting city actually makes it to the Super Bowl? I don’t know the formula to work out the specific probability, but it has to be akin to winning the lottery– because it has never, in the history of the NFL, happened before the 2020-2021 season.

 

Speaking of odds, let’s look at the odds for the main Super Bowl LV betting markets just keep in mind that there could be changes on lines during the week, keep yourself updated

Kansas City Chiefs Versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Odds

 

The point spread has held steady at -3, in favor of the KC Chiefs. You can find the Total at 56.5 at most betting outlets. The money line shows the Buccaneers as +150 dogs (Chiefs -168 @ Bookmaker).

 

I actually really like the Buccaneers on the money line to win. Yes, the Chiefs are a better team, but the Buccs have beaten the odds already this season by becoming the first team in history to play in the Super Bowl that they are hosting. On top of that, there is the Tom Brady factor

 

Then there is this to consider: since 2002, the underdog has won the Super Bowl 13 times to the favorite winning just six times. That means the dog wins nearly 70 percent of the time (68.42). The favorite has won two years straight, which is the most we’ve seen since 1995 when the Favs won four in a row between 1992 and 1995. So, I’m all over Tom Brady and the Buccs as dogs in this fight.

 

On top of aloof this, including the whole beating the odds as the hosting team thing, the Buccaneers are literally playing as the home team. This is a significant advantage, even without a real crowd in the stands. The Buccaneers get to sleep in their own beds, practice using their own facilities, and don’t have to travel at all. This is a massive boon for Tampa Bay.

 

When we get into the power ratings, some indexes have the Buccaneers rated a full point higher than the Chiefs. ESPN’s FPI lists the Chiefs at 9.4 to the Buccanneers’ 8.7. Now, because of the COVID factor, we are not going to give a full 2.5 points to Tampa Bay. But, home advantage is still easily worth a point and some change. So, no matter how you slice it, the Buccaneers come out on top of the power ratings.

Super Bowl Props for Consideration

Most Penalties in Game by Type:

 

  • Holding +275
  • False Start +280
  • Offsides/Neutral Zone/Encroachment +425
  • Any Other +500
  • Pass Interference +600
  • Illegal Block +700
  • Delay of Game +1400
  • No Penalty in Game+10000

 

I love holding at +275 because both teams’ offenses will get a couple, plus we could see both defensive units put a couple more on the boards. Pass interference is a good option as well because I believe they are absolutely not going to ‘just let them play’. The zebra jerks will be throwing flags left and right to avoid any ‘no-call’ debacles. 

 

False start is a common penalty, but since it only has each offense going for it, I think taking a slice of holding with a side of pass interference, which or not mutually exclusive to offense or defense. 

 

I also took OVER 10 penalties in the game at the sweet, sweet price of +125. This total seems low to me because the average combined penalties per game in 2020 was13.65. 

 

You could always throw down a few bucks on those favored Super Bowl props like, who’ll win the coin toss, what color will Mahomes headband be, how long will the national anthem last, who will the MVP shout out to first: God, team, mom, etc. But these are all just flips of the proverbial coin, except for betting the coin toss … it’s a literal flip of the coin.

Super Bowl LIV: Kansas City Chiefs orchestrate comeback win over 49ers

It was an exciting game Super Bowl as the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers 31-20. In the process, they rallied from 10 down for their first Super Bowl since 1970. The 49ers scored the first points of the game on a field goal by Robbie Gould. From then, the two teams traded barbs. A 10-point swing in the third quarter helped the 49ers take a 20-10 lead.

However, you can never count out the Kansas City Chiefs. With a 10-point deficit, they scored 21 unanswered points. Damien Williams and Travis Kelce played huge roles in the game. Kelce scored the first touchdown in the fourth quarter, closing the gap with 6:13 left. Williams scored two touchdowns, following the tight end’s contribution. With 2:44 remaining in the game, Williams caught a  five-yard pass from the arm of Patrick  Mahomes. That put Kansas City ahead 24-20.

With the game already in hand, Kansas City would score once more. Following a drive from San Francisco that would yield no points, Williams ran 38 yards to paydirt. Scoring a touchdown, he would put the Chiefs up by a 31-20 margin. That would seal the deal and give Kansas City the victory.

Kansas City Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes wins MVP

The MVP for this game was Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes. He went 26-of-42 on the evening. Throwing for 286 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, he averaged 6.8 yards per reception.

He also proved to be effective running the football, carrying the ball nine times for 29 yards and a touchdown.

Although some of his throws were not pretty, he made the right ones in order to set Kansas City up in good field position. It seemed like he executed his trademark on-the-run throws when he needed to. He kept the chains moving and moved the ball down the field. He did a little bit of everything in this game, and it was the type of game where he showcased all the skills he can bring to the table.

Best highlights from first half of Super Bowl LIV: 10-10

With the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers tied during the Super Bowl, our own Chris Kouffman was there to take it all in and help us break down the action. With so much going on, It was hard to pick his best tweets. Here are some of his more notable ones in what should be a fun rest of the evening.

 

Super Bowl party and event schedule

Check out Super Bowl Experience on South Beach

With the 49ers and Chiefs squaring off in Miami for Super Bowl LIV, Miami will be abuzz for the next two weeks. While tickets to the game itself are approaching all-time highs, the most affordable way to get into the spirit in 2020 may be Super Bowl Experience, which kicks off on January 25th and runs through February 1st. Spread across 500,000 square feet at the Miami Convention center, it’s a must visit for fans of all ages. Kids under 12 years old are free for the first time in the history of the Super Bowl Experience. For local Miami fans, prices are cheaper and crowds will be thinner during the first two days.

Last year, 140,000 people participated in the Super Bowl Experience. For the 2020 edition, the league is expecting 100,000 – 150,000 people per day for the nine day duration.  Tickets remain available from Ticketmaster, and you don’t need to worry about the time slots when purchasing.  Those are only enforced if the event is at capacity which isn’t likely.  As an example, can buy for the 11am slot, but still go at 2pm.

Where Does 2020 Super Bowl Experience Take Place

This year’s Super Bowl Experience will be at the Miami Beach Convention Center, which is located in the heart of Miami Beach. The Miami Beach Convention Center is easily accessible from the three major causeways: I-395 (McArthur Causeway), I-195 (Julia Tuttle Causeway) and Venetian Causeway. For more detailed directions and parking options, you can visit the site directly.

Where To Buy Super Bowl Experience Tickets

Fans can purchase tickets for a set date, and the NFL is offering free entry to active military on Wednesday, January 29, as well as kids 12 and under every day. There’s also the opportunity to upgrade tickets. Tickets are available directly from Ticketmaster, the League’s official partner, and it’s important not to shop on the secondary market, where prices can be listed above face value, even though tickets remain available on Ticketmaster.

Tickets range from $20 to $40 based on the day you choose to attend.

SBXTRA access costs $60, and includes priority access to the autograph stage, Vince Lombardi Trophy (pictured below), interactive games and the NFL PLAY 60 Clinic, as well as early entry to the venue. Priority access is similar to a theme-park “FastPass.” and helps navigate the experience as quickly and easily as possible.

The multi-day pass costs $50 allows you to visit as much as you want to enjoy your favorite parts of the event again.

As mentioned above, you don’t need to worry about the time slots when purchasing.  As an example, if you’re checking out and see the below options, and want to go at 11am, you’re fine to buy the 4pm pass and show up at 11am.

 

 

All Super Bowl Experience tickets are time stamped for entry, but according to the NFL, a ticket will be honored on the day for which it was purchased regardless of the time stamp.

What Is The Super Bowl Experience:

The Super Bowl Experience is essentially an NFL theme park where you can get autographs from close to 40 Dolphins and NFL greats, including Dan Marino, Joe Montana, Irv Smith, Jerry Rice, Russell Wilson others (see full autograph schedule by day below).

Fans can participate in football clinics and interactive games, and Instagram-worthy opportunities like a close-up with you and the Vince Lombardi Trophy and a display with all 53 Super Bowl rings. There’s also access to the Bridgestone Fan Gallery, which a row of radio broadcasters and podcasters where you stargaze NFL players and VIP guests.

Below is the full list of activities available throughout the week.

Bridgestone Two Minute Drill: Test your Quarterback Mastery by quickly passing the ball down the field and into three targets before the clock runs out. Score when it matters most!

Castrol® Titanium Training Camp: Stop by Training Camp to race through a series of obstacles and train like the pros. Get ready to show us your titanium skills!

EA Sports Madden NFL 20 Crucial Catch QB Scramble: Take the snap and run through read-and-react obstacles before throwing a pass to a larger than life target!

FedEx Air Challenge: How do your quarterback skills stack up against this year’s FedEx Air NFL Player of the Year nominees? Find out by testing your passing accuracy on specially designed targets.

FedEx Ground Challenge: Prove you have the rushing skills of the FedEx Ground NFL Player of the Year nominees by catching a punt and weaving through traffic down the field to the end zone. After you score, make sure to get a reusable FedEx tote bag

Lowe’s Field Goal Kick:  Test your ability to kick a field goal through NFL uprights.

Crucial Catch Hail Mary: Test your long-distance accuracy by throwing a deep pass over defenders into a drop-in net. 3 Cone Drill NFL ONEPASS Test your ability to change directions by maneuvering 3 cones at various yardage.

40-Yard Dash: Race down the field against your opponents and NFL players on a giant 40-yard long LED wall! Broad Jump NFL ONEPASS Test your lower-body explosion, balance and strength at the broad jump!

Obstacle Course: Navigate the obstacle course and train like an NFL Player!

Vertical Jump: Take your position at the vertical jump, and find out what the differential between your reach and the flag you hit is, just like at the NFL Scouting Combine!

Below is an image from the Punt, Pass, Kick area for Play60 from the 2018 game in Minnesota to give you a sense:

Here’s a look at the Super Bowl Experience schedule and prices for each day.

When Does The Super Bowl Experience in Miami Take Place:

Below is the full list of dates and hours, as well as full list of autographs signings and times for each.

Saturday, January 25

  • Hours: 10 a.m.-10 p.m.
  • Primary market ticket price: $20

Autograph Signings:

  • 11AM – 1PM – Dexter Lawrence
  • 1PM – 3PM – Irv Smith
  • 1PM – 3PM – Dionte Johnson
  • 3PM – 5PM – Preston Williams
  • 5PM – 7PM – Bilal Powell

Sunday, January 26

  • Hours: 10 a.m.-8 p.m.
  • Primary market ticket price: $20 

Autograph Signings:

  • 11AM-1PM – Johnathan Cyprien
  • 4:45 PM – 6PM – Matt Bosher
  • 3PM – 5PM – Lavonte David

Monday, January, 27

  • Hours: Closed

Tuesday, January 28

  • Hours: Closed

Wednesday, January 29

  • Hours: 3 p.m.-8 p.m.
  • Primary market ticket price: $20

Autograph Signings:

  • 6PM – 7PM – Derwin James
  • 7PM – 8PM – Devon Godchaux

Thursday, January 30

  • Hours: 3 p.m.-10 p.m.
  • Primary market ticket price: $40

Autograph Signings:

  • 3PM – 5PM – Robby Anderson
  • 4PM – 5PM – Dan Marino
  • 5PM – 6PM – Quincy Enunwa
  • 6PM – 7PM – Juju Smith-Schuster
  • 7PM – 9PM – Marcus Williams
  • 7PM – 9PM Trae Waynes

Friday, January 31

  • Hours: 10 a.m.-10 p.m.
  • Primary market ticket price: $40 

Autograph Signings:

  • 11AM – 1PM – Jonathan Ogden
  • 1PM – 3PM – Leonard Williams
  • 1PM – 3PM – Dontari Poe
  • 3PM – 5PM – Justin Simmons
  • 3PM – 5PM – Alex Ogletree
  • 5PM – 7PM – Kenny Golladay
  • 5PM – 7PM – Eric Erbon
  • 6PM – 8PM – Brian Burns
  • 7PM – 9PM Terry McLaurin

Saturday, February 1

  • Hours: 10 a.m.-10 p.m.
  • Primary market ticket price: $40

Autograph Signings:

  • 11AM – 1PM – Devin Hester
  • 11AM – 1PM Dante Fowler
  • 7PM – 9PM – James Bradberry
  • 7PM – 9PM – Chris Ivory