Goldie’s Best Bets Week 15: Brady Breakthrough, Pats Streaking
All Time Record: 247-125-1
Vs. Spread: 186-186-1
21-22 Season: 121-70-1
Vs. Spread: 97-97-1
Week 14 Record: 13-0
Vs. Spread: 11-2
Guarantee Record: 14-14
Upset Record: 15-12
Crazy Uncle Jeff
All Time: 33-10
21-22 Season: 17-9
Week 14: 1-0
Goldie’s Guarantee: TB -11.5
New Orleans Saints (6-7) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-3)
Vegas Picks: TB -11.5
Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 30-10
One of the only reasons this game is on SNF is because the Saints have been Brady’s kryptonite since joining the Bucs. Brady is 0-3 regular season against the Saints, but keep in mind that two of those losses were to Drew Brees and the third was against Jameis Winston. The Saints don’t have either of those guys at QB this Sunday, so I think the Bucs should have an easier time. Tampa clinches the division with a convincing win at home in Primetime, I GUARANTEE IT!
Goldie’s UPSET of the Week
Cincinnati Bengals (7-6) @ Denver Broncos (7-6)
Vegas Picks: DEN -3
Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 31-26
Lots of playoff implications on the line in this one, a win keeps you right in the thick of the race, whereas a loss makes the path to the postseason incredibly difficult. Cincy fell just short of a great home win last week losing to the Niners in overtime. That marks two straight losses for the Bengals who were once sitting pretty at 7-4. Now they head to Denver to face a very inconsistent Broncos team. Trusting Burrow and highflying Bengals offense to outpace Teddy B and the Broncos. Cincy pulls off the UPSET and gets the win in the Mile High.
Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: NE +2.5
New England Patriots (9-4) @ Indianapolis Colts (7-6)
Vegas Picks: IND -2.5
Goldie’s Take: Patriots Win 23-20
In our rare Saturday NFL showdown, we have what should be one of the most interesting games of the weekend. Many storylines here: breakout of Johnathan Taylor, breakout of Mac Jones, heavy playoff implications on the line, but the biggest of them all is definitely how red hot the entire Pats team has been. Since starting 2-4, the Pats have completely figured it out and have been setting the league on fire with seven straight wins. Jeffy and I have bet against the GOAT in the sweatshirt too many times, Pats keep surging with a win in Indy.
Tennessee Titans (9-4) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (6-6-1)
Vegas Picks: PIT -1
Goldie’s Take: Steelers Win 24-21
Since losing Derrick Henry this Tennessee offense has rapidly declined. Soon after Henry went down, AJ Brown got injured and they were forced to put him on IR. The Titans are putting too much responsibility on Tannehill’s shoulders. Meanwhile, Steelers coming off a TNF game, should be well rested and will be getting stud pass rusher TJ Watt back as well. Pitt defense should give T’s offense fits, and Big Ben will be able to do enough to get the victory. Steelers stay right in the thick of the playoff chase with a home win in the Big Ketchup Bottle.
Carolina Panthers (5-8) @ Buffalo Bills (7-6)
Vegas Picks: BUF -12
Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 34-21
Remember when everyone was talking about how the Bills were going to dethrone the Pats and take over the AFC? Welp, all that is now out the window as three straight losses has Buffalo needing to win just to keep their playoff hopes on track. However, this is the perfect game to get back on track. The return of Cam Newton to Carolina has not worked at all to put it lightly, and the entire Panthers team seems to be in flux right now. Expecting Josh Allen and the Bills to tighten up the screws at home this week as they try and get moving back in the right direction.
Houston Texans (2-11) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11)
Vegas Picks: JAX -5
Goldie’s Take: Jaguars Win 26-23
The toilet bowl takes place in Jacksonville this Sunday between two of the leagues four teams with double digit losses this season. The biggest storyline in this one is about someone who actually won’t be at the game, as the Jags fired HC Urban Meyer earlier this week. I believe the Jacksonville players will band together to get a win now that the cancer has left their locker room. Jags win what should be a close game between two bad teams.
Dallas Cowboys (9-4) @ New York Giants (4-9)
Vegas Picks: DAL -11
Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 27-17
Cowboys have owned this matchup recently, on an 8-1 run against the G-Men. Giants will once again be without starting QB Daniel Jones, as Mike Glennon will continue to start in his relief. Glennon should have a really tough time moving the ball against a stout Cowboys defense. Struggling Dak also gets a good opportunity to bounce back in this one with a weak opponent like the Giants. Cowboys should get the win, but can definitely see Giants slipping in under the Vegas odds with a home cover.
Arizona Cardinals (10-3) @ Detroit Lions (1-11-1)
Vegas Picks: ARI -13
Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 30-20
Cards head to Mo-Town undefeated on the road this season, and a win away from clinching a playoff berth. Even with Deandre Hopkins supposed to miss Sunday’s tilt, still like Arizona to cruise past the lowly Lions. However Detroit has shown the ability to keep fighting this season: After each of their previous four double digit losses this season, the following game has been decided by a single digit margin. Fully expecting Cards to win this one, but picking Lions to keep it within the fat betting line.
New York Jets (3-10) @ Miami Dolphins (6-7)
Vegas Picks: MIA -9.5
Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 21-13
Miami has owned this matchup in recent memory, currently on a 9-2 stretch (4-1 under B-Flo) against their division rival. Fins also enter as one of the hottest teams in the league, winners of five in a row. However, the pesky Covid wave has made its way to the Miami locker room. The entire running back room has been put on the Covid list, to go along with stud wide receiver Jaylen Waddle. Still believe in Flores and the defense to hold strong, but wouldn’t be shocked if Planes kept it just within the hefty betting line.
Atlanta Falcons (6-7) @ San Francisco 49ers (7-6)
Vegas Picks: SF -9.5
Goldie’s Take: 49ers Win 28-21
Niners have found their rhythm after their tough start, winning four of their last five. Jimmy G has settled into the starting QB role, and has been very efficient. That’s what the Niners offense is based upon, efficiency. They’re not too flashy but they get the job done when paired with a solid defense. San Fran should get the win in this one, but it is worth noting that Dirty Birds are 5-2 this season on the road so wouldn’t be shocked if we see a Matty Ice road cover.
Green Bay Packers (10-3) @ Baltimore Ravens (8-5)
Vegas Picks: GB -6
Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 28-24
Given Lamar Jackson is good to go on Sunday (ankle), this would mark the first time that ‘19 MVP (Jackson) faced off against ‘20 MVP (Rodgers). Lamar is a strong 12-2 against NFC teams in his career, so going against the Ravens at home was not an easy decision. However, Rodgers is my guy and the Pack have looked like the best team in the NFL this season. Wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Ravens upset in this one, but safer play is to pick them with the points.
Las Vegas Raiders (6-7) @ Cleveland Browns (7-6)
Vegas Picks: LV -1.5
Goldie’s Take: Raiders Win 26-20
Playoff desperation is starting to set in for both teams, but especially for the Raiders coming off back to back losses. After getting obliterated in KC last week, the Raiders should come out firing in Cleveland to prove that they’re still valid. It’s also worth noting that the Browns had the Covid wave hit them this week. Both Baker Mayfield and Kevin Stafanski (among many others) have tested positive this week, so Cleveland could very well be without their HC/QB combo this weekend. Case Keenum has the ability to keep the Browns in this one, but I expect Derek Carr and the Raiders to go into the Dawg Pound and leave with a victory.
Minnesota Vikings (6-7) @ Chicago Bears (4-9)
Vegas Picks: MIN -6
Goldie’s Take: Vikings Win 28-23
This is a Primetime matchup where I don’t trust anything about it. The Vikings have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league this season, plus Kirk Cousins on Primetime is another red flag. However, I don’t have any faith in the Bears either. Rookie QB in Primetime is a huge question mark. Picking Minny because Vikings need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive, but wouldn’t be shocked if the Bears play spoiler.
Washington Football Team (6-7) @ Philadelphia Eagles (6-7)
Vegas Picks: PHI -8.5
Goldie’s Take: Eagles Win 28-17
With 23 members of the WFT currently on the Covid list, this game becomes very difficult to analyze. Who knows who’s going to be available on Tuesday night? However, based on what we now know, all signs point towards an Eagles victory. I personally would give Philly the edge even if both teams were at full strength. So, with Covid decimating a large portion of Washington’s team, AND Philly having home field advantage for this one, yeah, I’m picking the Eagles.
Seattle Seahawks (5-8) @ Los Angeles Rams (9-4)
Vegas Picks: LAR -4.5
Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 26-23
The Rams had a very inspiring win last week in Arizona on MNF. Even with many of their guys getting Covid,they adjusted and were still able to perform, and even manage to dominate at that! However, this will mark the second straight week where the Rams are going to be heavily short handed. It’s too much to ask for the reserves to keep up that level of high play. Also the desperation is there for Seattle. The Seahawks are still hanging by a thread in the NFC playoff race, but a loss would end them. Russell Wilson and the ‘Hawks swoop in for an UPSET in LA on Tuesday night.