Five Takeaways from Heat’s Overtime Loss in Indiana

The Miami Heat fell short in OT to the Indiana Pacers, in a game that was the basketball definition of “in the mid.” Jimmy Butler just couldn’t put the ball in the basket, and without Kyle Lowry, it became the Tyler Herro show late.

On a very rough offensive night, here are some takeaways walking away from this game…

#1: Bam Adebayo’s aggression stays consistent early on, but unfortunately fades late in terms of offensive set-ups.

The Heat are 8 minutes into a pretty uneven start to this game. Bam Adebayo with 6 shot attempts, rest of Miami with 7 total shot attempts. This wasn’t just an abnormal aggressive start from Adebayo. This is just him now. Pulling up with zero hesitance on that inner wing, attacking the basket right at Myles Turner and Damantas Sabonis like he always does against this team for some odd reason, and getting to the line due to that driving urge. The point is this: if it can get to a point where it’s expected instead of hopeful, then that’s a fantastic starting point. Nobody will question an inefficient night at this stage of his career, the same way many will question an unwillingness to shoot. The issue with that is he faded late. When offense grew more and more stagnant in overtime, it was forced jumpers from Butler and double teams flying to Herro. In a game like this, Adebayo must be set-up late the way he was set-up early.

#2: Kyle Lowry out, Gabe Vincent in. What does that mean for the rotation status?

Kyle Lowry was a game time decision for this game and ended up sitting out, which I don’t think was a bad choice considering it’s only game two. As I expected, Gabe Vincent stepped into the starting lineup, since well, that’s the Erik Spoelstra way. But after a slow start from Vincent, it may lead to some questioning the insertion, but let me just say that move is even more necessary in a game like this. Things clearly fell apart in the non-Butler and Adebayo minutes like they did last season, and starting Tyler Herro means you’re making the minute distribution even worse. Vincent looked very predictable in his minutes, since his defender seemed to always know exactly what he was doing before he even did it. But a major point of emphasis in a game without Lowry is to put Herro in the right spots, which they did…

#3: The growth of Tyler Herro is real…and it’s not just one thing.

When walking away from the first half, the primary takeaways were all negative: lacking full-on engagement, Butler’s shots weren’t falling, Dewayne Dedmon looked a step slow with that ankle injury, etc. But a positive element somehow outshined those other things: Tyler Herro. A 16 point performance in the first half through 16 minutes doesn’t do his evaluation justice. Movement shots on the baseline, carving up the mid-range with ease, and utilizing that added muscle by embracing contact on the attack. That stuff is brand new. We can sit here and breakdown the “growth” from Herro to begin this season, but it truly isn’t one thing. He’s just comfortable, and combining that with an immense amount of confidence to lead the team in shots in the first half by 5 attempts is pretty interesting. And then capping it off with clutch shot after clutch shot late in the fourth is a completely different story. The emergence is here.

#4: Miami’s third quarter fight finds an offensive set that is quite intriguing.

Jimmy Butler had a rough game shooting the basketball, but he did find other ways to chip away with this team. One way of doing that was defensively, and the other was trying new things on the offensive end. Early in the third, Butler found himself on another isolation on the inner wing, which hasn’t worked all night. Duncan Robinson makes his way around the wing instead, Butler hands it off to him, and two Indiana defenders fly at him. Robinson dumps it down to Butler on the short roll: easy score. A few possessions later, the same thing is seen again. Robinson draws attention on the hand-off, Butler gets it in the middle of the floor and lays it in. But is it just that simple? Well it is, until Robinson adds that dribbling element like he did late in the third. The third Butler DHO for Robinson was seen, but they were ready for the roll this time. Robinson gets to his right, finds space inside, and banks it in. This offensive wrinkle sparked them tonight, and could be a base moving forward.

#5: This team is going to play in the mud a ton.

When I say that this Heat team will find themselves playing in the mud frequently this season, that isn’t a knock on their offense. It’s putting this defensive structure on a pedestal. Miami had trouble scoring as well, but holding this Pacers team to 8 points in the third quarter after the way they came out shooting wasn’t accidental. Even without Lowry and using plenty of Robinson-Herro lineups, this team stayed true to their identity. Not because of pure athleticism or defensive abilities, but through perfect positioning on that end. The number of charges drawn in this one should tell you enough about how this game went, but even on rotations, this team found themselves in the right spot time and time again. Many may look at a stat sheet from the second half and say Indiana had an off shooting stretch, but it was actually the pressure Miami put on them on that end when the offensive stuff wasn’t clicking. But after the team offense truly never “clicked,” the defense finally broke down late, leading to an overtime loss.

EDITOR’S NOTE: FIVE REASONS SPORTS IS PARTNERING WITH OUR GOOD FRIENDS OVER AT PICKUP TO GIVE AWAY FANATICS ($20 VALUE) TO 3 LUCKY WINNERS. ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS MAKE YOUR PICK ON THE PICKUP PROP IN THIS ARTICLE AND FOLLOW THE STEPS TO VERIFY YOUR PICK FOR A CHANCE TO WIN.

Loading
Loading...

 

Everything Tradeshows is a one-stop-shop for trade show exhibit rentals and custom exhibit display purchase solutions to companies of all sizes.

Visit them at EverythingTradeShows or call 954-791-8882

Goldie’s Week 7 Best Bets: Lamar, Mahomes Step Up

Goldie:

All Time Record: 184-85          

Vs. Spread: 132-133-1

 

21-22 Season:  58-30               

Vs. Spread: 43-44-1

 

Week 6 Record : 9-4                 

Vs. Spread: 8-5

 

Guarantee All Time: 13-7       

21-22 Season: 4-2

 

Upset All Time: 12-7              

21-22 Season: 3-3

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 27-4              

21-22 Season: 11-3       

Week 6: 2-1

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Carolina Panthers (3-3) @ New York Giants (1-5)

Vegas Picks: CAR -3

Goldie’s Take: Panthers Win 24-16

The Giants are clearly in rebuilding mode, as they can’t seem to get anything going. In the past two weeks alone they have been outscored by a combined 51 points. On the flipside, Carolina has just had some bad breaks. They are a .500 football team who is still playoff hopeful. Even without CMC, expect the Panthers offense to get going against a shaky New York defense. Big Cats stop the losing skid, and get back on track in New York, I GUARANTEE IT!

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

New Orleans Saints (3-2) @ Seattle Seahawks (2-4)

Vegas Picks: NO -4.5

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 26-23

The Vegas betting lines are giving the Saints the edge simply because of the injury to Russell Wilson, which is fair. However, I’ve liked what I’ve seen so far from backup Geno Smith. Pete Carroll is a great offensive coach who can devise a game plan for a QB like Smith to succeed. Plus Seattle on Monday Night Football is one of the most hostile environments to play. Not to mention the Jameis Winston led Saints are one of the most unpredictable teams in the NFL. Give me ‘Hawks to beat the Saints on MNF. UPSET!

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: KC -4.5

Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) @ Tennessee Titans (4-2)

Vegas Picks: KC -4.5

Goldie’s Take: Chiefs Win 37-32

The Chiefs looked a lot more like the Chiefs we’re used to seeing last week in their rout of the Washington Football Team. Enough so that Crazy Uncle Jeffy has bought back into the KC hype and is picking them as the first of his two LOCKS this weekend. However, the Titans enter this one with some swagger as well, after defeating the almighty Buffalo Bills on Monday night. Expect a lot of points in this one, as both teams have high-powered offenses, but pick Mahomes to outlast Tannehill in a shootout. 

 

******

Loading
Loading...

 

******

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: GB -8

Washington Football Team (2-4) @ Green Bay Packers (5-1)

Vegas Picks: GB -8

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 32-21

The Packers enter this one red hot and show zero signs of slowing down. They’ve won five straight and Rodgers is back playing at an MVP level. No Names offense should have a very hard time trying to keep pace with Green Bay’s highly potent attack. Plus Rodgers historically wins over 80% of the time in Lambeau. Cheeseheads cruise to 6-1 in this one. Never fade the Crazy Uncle

 

Rest of Week 7:

 

Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) @ Baltimore Ravens (5-1)

Vegas Picks: BAL -6

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 28-24

Everyone’s talking about Kyler Murray and Dak Presscott, but Lamar Jackson is quietly having an MVP type season himself. He’s top ten in both passing and rushing yards, (something unheard of for a quarterback) and his dual threat ability as a quarterback continues to leave defenses guessing. Not to mention Baltimore’s defensive unit is also very strong, making them a near impossible matchup for any team. Ravens win the AFC North battle at home. 

 

Atlanta Falcons (2-3) @ Miami Dolphins (1-5)

Vegas Picks: ATL -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Falcons Win 24-23

The Deshaun Watson to Miami rumors began heating up again this week (for what seems like the one millionth time), as the ‘Fins prepare to host the Falcons. I would imagine Tua’s confidence is at an all time low following a loss to Jags and hearing all these rumors flying around. Plus it doesn’t help that Atlanta is coming off a bye and has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Usually in a toss up game like this, I’d take the home team but there’s just too much uncertainty in Miami’s locker room right now. Dirty Birds get back to .500 in Miami, as Fins continue to circle the drain. 

 

New York Jets (1-4) @ New England Patriots (2-4)

Vegas Picks: NE -6.5

Goldie’s Take: Patriots Win 26-14

Guarantee committee took a hard look at this one before deciding to go in another direction, but by the numbers the Patriots are virtually a lock to win this game. To start, the Pats have won 11 straight games against the Jets. Also, Bill Belichick is the king of beating rookie quarterbacks. Plus these Pats have already proven that they can beat this Jets team by winning 25-6 in their first contest in New York in week 2. Another advantage for New England in this one is the fact that the game is at home. Pats coast to a divisional win in Foxboro this Sunday. 

 

Philadelphia Eagles (2-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders (4-2)

Vegas Picks: LV -3

Goldie’s Take: Raiders Win 27-23

In most of the Raiders wins this season, it has been their high powered offense who has shouldered most of the load. However, in their 34-24 win over the Broncos last week, the defense looked fantastic, hitting Teddy Bridgewater 17 times and producing 4 takeaways. The Eagles offense should have a tough time running the ball against this front seven. Raiders take care of business at home and improve to 5-2. 

 

Detroit Lions (0-6) @ Los Angeles Rams (5-1)

Vegas Picks: LAR -15

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 34-17

Not much to analyze here. The Rams have the Lions beat in almost every facet of the game. However, one interesting storyline is Jared Goff’s return to LA. Revenge game? I don’t think so. Rams roll past Lions at home. 

 

Chicago Bears (3-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1)

Vegas Picks: TB -12.5

Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 30-20

Brady and the Bucs got a little extra time to prepare for this one following their Thursday night win against the Eagles. A much closer game than many people anticipated, and I think this one could play a similar tune. The Bears beat Tampa last season in a game where Chicago’s defense gave Brady and the Bucs fits. I wouldn’t be surprised if Chicago stays in this one as well, but still picking the GOAT to win at home. 

 

Houston Texans (1-5) @ Arizona Cardinals (6-0)

Vegas Picks: ARI -17.5

Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 35-14

The ‘72 Dolphins are going to have to wait at least another week to say cheers as the only unbeaten team ever, because this one is a mismatch across the board. Kyler Murray has the Cards playing at an elite level this season, as he’s the favorite for MVP. Meanwhile, the most attention that the Texans have received is surrounding a possible trade including star quarterback Deshaun Watson, who has sat out the first 6 games of the season with hopes to be traded. Cardinals coast to 7-0 at home. 

 

Indianapolis Colts (2-4) @ San Francisco 49ers (2-3)

Vegas Picks: SF -4

Goldie’s Take: 49ers Win 22-20

Both of these teams are very average in my opinion, and Jimmy G very well might be playing for his job this weekend. If San Fran fails to move the ball against the abysmal Colts pass defense, then Garoppolo’s time with the Niners could be coming to an end. The Niners have had two weeks to prepare for this one as they’re coming off a bye, plus at home on Sunday night should definitely give this team a boost. However Indy is coming off a 31-3 divisional win, so I wouldn’t be shocked if they upset this one. Safer play is to take San Fran to win at home.  

 

Where the Gators Stand after 7 Games

After a devastating loss against unranked LSU last weekend, Florida’s record fell to 4-3 when just a month ago, they had chances to beat then top-ranked Alabama. So, where did everything go wrong?

 

Defensive coordinator Todd Grantham certainly hasn’t helped matters with his defense allowing 454 yards against a struggling LSU offense, with 287 of those yards coming from Tyrion Davis Pierce’s rushing yards with a total of 3 TDS. But it’s more than just the defense. For example, take the Kentucky game, where playcalling was weak and special teams struggled. Florida is also dead-last in the SEC in yards per kick return.

 

And then there’s the quarterback situation where Emory Jones has struggled the past few games. Anthony Richardson brought life back into the offense when he replaced Jones in the LSU game, accounting for three key touchdowns and high energy that was simply unmatched. He did have two interceptions which is understandable as he is only a redshirt freshman compared to Jones, who has been a part of the offense for four seasons now and is making interceptions that a player with that much experience should not make. 

 

****

Loading
Loading...

****

 

And in the most recent news, Florida lost a commitment for the 2022 class from 4-star linebacker, Shemar James. I can’t blame him when Florida’s defense is subpar and Todd Grantham’s contract is up at the end of this season. Many fans are calling for his firing which has gone back to the end of last year. 

 

Even more than that, many Florida fans on Twitter are finding tweets from current and former players who are disgruntled with Todd Grantham and Head Coach Dan Mullen. You can see easily in recent press conferences that Dan Mullen doesn’t have the same fire and passion for winning as he did back in his first two seasons at Florida. Midway into Mullen’s fourth season, sitting at 4-3 overall and 2-3 in the SEC, there’s definitely some cause for concern. We’ll see what happens next when Florida travels to Jacksonville to take on top-ranked Georgia on October 30th at 3:30 pm.

 

Let us know your thoughts below.

Breaking Down the Shifting Role of Butler, Adebayo, and Herro

EDITOR’S NOTE: FIVE REASONS SPORTS IS PARTNERING WITH OUR GOOD FRIENDS OVER AT PICKUP TO GIVE AWAY FANATICS ($20 VALUE) TO 3 LUCKY WINNERS. ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS MAKE YOUR PICK ON THE PICKUP PROP IN THIS ARTICLE AND FOLLOW THE STEPS TO VERIFY YOUR PICK FOR A CHANCE TO WIN.
Loading
Loading...

In many ways, Kyle Lowry doesn’t have a true weakness at this stage of his career.

He can still hold his own at the point of attack, sets others up in a way that Miami hasn’t had in forever, and can win a game by 42 points with only 1 field goal made.

In that all-around role, it has shown an incredible expansion for the players around him. The 27 points from Tyler Herro, 21 points from Jimmy Butler, and 20 points from Bam Adebayo isn’t the only reason I say that after beating a Bucks team without key players, but instead it’s the way they’re generating these looks and scoring 137 points in a game.

This is a super talented defensive team, but the descriptions don’t end there: this team can put up points…

Bam Adebayo:

Kyle Lowry Forcing Him into More and More Shot Attempts

How is Bam Adebayo’s aggression coming together so fluidly to begin the year. Is it the natural evolution of a young player like Erik Spoelstra noted? Is Adebayo going through those motions with a purpose? Or is it just simply Kyle Lowry?

Adebayo seems to think it’s the latter.

“It’s really because of Kyle in all honesty.”

It’s one thing to just put it out there in that sense, but it’s another thing for it to be absolutely correct when watching the game film. Yes, we see Adebayo “just going” even when Lowry is on the sideline, but there’s a specific edge and confidence that Lowry is feeding into.

Just take a look at the first clip: Adebayo has Giannis Antetokounmpo in space with an empty corner, but decides to pass back out to Lowry instead.

What does Lowry do? He immediately reinserts that ball into Adebayo in the post, and clears out to the opposite side of the floor. This isn’t last year when the guard would stand at the top of the key as a safety blanket for Adebayo’s eventual kick-out. This is Lowry saying ‘you’re shooting this ball no matter what.’

Consequently, Adebayo jabs and fires away for a bucket, which he did many times in this game. Even when speaking with media post-game, he noted that’s been a point of emphasis with him during the off-season. He’s comfortable with that jab jumper, and it’s not just a space provider. It’s a rhythm shot for him.

Lastly, there’s something else to pick up on with these two Adebayo shot attempts. His point of operation.

Adebayo calls it “picking his spots more,” but I call it “not needing to be the elbow release valve every play.” Now, he’s able to work from that inner wing or baseline where he has the space to do many different things.

It’s not just about Lowry making Adebayo take those shots in clear-outs. It’s the responsibilities Lowry has stripped from Adebayo to just be himself.

Some Fast-Break Magic

The Heat finished this game with a transition frequency of 20.2%. Last season, they were 14.9% across the 72 game season.

It’s only one game, but you can tell this is a long term thing. Guys like Lowry and Herro love that style of play, but Adebayo has finally embraced it, which is a scary thing.

Nobody can truly keep up with a coast to coast Adebayo on a nightly basis, and one guy that could probably slow him down better than anybody is the guy he matched up with last night: Antetokounmpo.

Euro-steps, downhill collisions. We’re seeing it all from Adebayo on the break, and it’s not because anybody on the floor is forcing him into that. He’s just finally freed up.

This team is built to run, and they’re embodying that already. But if Adebayo is the pace initiator throughout the season like he did in this season opener, it’ll be quite the offensive agenda for defenses to try and scheme against.

Jimmy Butler:

Defensive Freelancing is Upon Us

I brought this up a ton throughout the game last night, since well, it’s something I’ve noted since the Lowry acquisition was finalized.

We knew what Lowry would do for Adebayo in terms of unlocking things offensively. We knew giving Herro a pure point guard for the first time in his career would do wonders. But it just felt like the defensive shift from Butler was more important than anything else.

Butler is obviously one of the game’s best defenders, but I wouldn’t say he does it in a way that many of the other players in his category do it. Like Adebayo for example, we see his greatness on the ball by swarming smaller guards and things of that nature.

But Butler, on the hand, does it in the shadows.

He’s an off-ball master in that sense. It’s something I’ve broken down many times leading up to this point, since the additions of PJ Tucker and Lowry meant more reps for Butler outside of the offensive actions.

Timely doubles is his specialty, and he’s going to be a looming free safety all season, sending that all-out blitz more times than not.

Looking at the clips above, you can see this all happening in the first few minutes of the game. Gambling on some cross-court doubles once Antetokounmpo turned was something I expected, but the interesting part about it was he wasn’t holding back.

Not a ton of show-and-go to say the least, it was just pure willingness to swarm these guys who weren’t his assignment. And well, that is Jimmy Butler.

That will be Jimmy Butler all season.

A Simple Game of One-On-One

Walking into the Miami Heat practice facility after they finish practicing, there’s a consistent theme.

On one side of the court, there is Jimmy Butler going one-on-one with different coaches, trainers, and players for about 30 minutes every day. Udonis Haslem was the one a few days ago getting in those defensive reps, as they went at each other in a one-on-one setting where Butler fits in best.

And going through those motions isn’t just for some extra sweat and cardio. There’s a purpose, and that was seen in this game against Milwaukee.

Lowry does take a lot of pressure off Adebayo, but he also puts Butler in better spots to score as he noted after the game. In other words, Butler finds himself playing one-on-one in the half-court a bunch, doing it as loose as he does against UD after practice.

But Butler’s game hasn’t changed at all, so why is this important to note?

Well, Butler’s game may not have changed, but the team around him has. Looking at the clips above, nobody can fully commit to the double that they always seemed to do last season with zero reluctance. No knock to guys like Kendrick Nunn, but they had certain limitations on that kick-out that Lowry just doesn’t obtain.

If they double team Butler in that fashion, you’re not only at risk of giving up a Lowry three, but you’re also giving him a 4 on 3 on the backside, which is one of his best offensive skills in terms of decision making.

IMG_5728

Allowing Butler to play one-on-one all day is a treat, and it gives this Heat offense a fun wrinkle that they weren’t able to fully commit to in the past. (And yes he missed in that clip, which is new after watching him go 1 on 1 last night)

Tyler Herro:

Confidence is Higher, Release Point is Higher

We’re officially at the point where a 27 point performance from Tyler Herro off the bench to kick off the season doesn’t even surprise anybody. It’s just normal now.

So many limitations that were once placed on him as a scorer with the constant necessity for a screen are no longer in place. It’s not that he added a bunch of unstoppable combos to get to his spots. It’s just a simple formula.

Confidence is higher and his release point is higher.

In many ways, those two things can go hand in hand. When a player is having an off game and confidence is lowered, you always begin to notice shots being short due to them becoming flat-footed.

But when that confidence is as high as Herro’s is at the moment, that shot is higher than any defender’s wingspan.

He’s rising over the top of defenders all over the floor, and he isn’t being fazed by contests. It’s a skill that has pretty much gone under the radar for Duncan Robinson over the years, since essentially blocking out a defenders close-out can change a scorer’s outlook.

And Herro’s outlook has completely changed.

Some may think these points are being overstated, but they absolutely aren’t: placing Herro in this simplified bench role is the reason for him emerging. Play-making and rebounding have been sprinkled in through the natural flow of the game, but he’s not being asked to do any of that.

Mostly since Butler or Lowry are lined up next to him at all times.

“I love playing with Kyle,” Herro said about Lowry. “My first two years in the league I didn’t really have a point guard who could get everyone organized, and that’s no knock on my former teammates.”

And that last part is the truth. Guys like Goran Dragic were great for the original growth of Herro, and what they brought on a regular basis, but that just wasn’t his role. Dragic was in a scoring role as a scoring guard, but now Miami has that pure point they’ve been missing.

Or should I say, that Herro’s been missing.

Inside Game Coming Along for One Reason

A three-level scorer is emerging. The mid-range game from Herro has been pretty close to unstoppable through the preseason and first regular season game, his outside shooting has been highly efficient, and the inside game in question has been tweaked now as well.

The floater has been an interesting gadget for him, since it means he isn’t one dimensional inside the paint. Instead of spamming underhand scoop layups on every pick and roll drive, he has an outlet that can be relied on.

And well, that floater has been a constant sticking point after these Heat practices.

IMG_5625

It isn’t just about the floater either. The added muscle that he put on has entered the equation as well, and I think we’re seeing just where he added that weight.

Going back to my earlier point of firing over the top of defenses with a high release point, the added strength in his legs is the main reason for that. But it seems like that behind the scenes work has gave him the confidence to embrace contact more and more.

Looking at the first clip above, Herro wasn’t doing that last year. Going right at that dropping big, bumping him with his shoulder, then fading away with the bank. That right there is a new Tyler Herro.

And in the big picture, nothing is better than a ‘more’ confident Herro at this stage. And who is feeding him that confidence? His teammates around him, as he’s illustrated over 20 times since camp ended.

And that is a major shift for him. It’s a major shift for this team. And that domino effect all started when Lowry landed in Miami.

 

Everything Tradeshows is a one-stop-shop for trade show exhibit rentals and custom exhibit display purchase solutions to companies of all sizes.

Visit them at EverythingTradeShows or call 954-791-8882

Five Takeaways from Heat’s Dominant Season Opener

The Miami Heat clearly came out with some extra motivation against this Milwaukee Bucks team. First quarter dominance on both ends blended into a pretty one-sided game throughout.

Who stuck out in this season opener? Well, that’s the interesting part: everybody.

#1: Bam Adebayo’s offensive aggression pops early.

A topic fresh in our minds when we see Bam Adebayo and the Heat facing the Milwaukee Bucks is his offensive aggression, following Brook Lopez’s willingness to give Adebayo all of the space in the world in the previous series. To kick off this season opener, three of the first four offensive possessions for Miami consisted of an Adebayo shot attempt. Yeah, things have changed. Adebayo only trailed Tyler Herro in shot attempts at the half, but his willingness to take it to the rim and absorb contact time and time again is the difference maker. Five free throw attempts through 16 first half minutes proved that to be true, while the makes on the other hand were a bit uneven. But nobody is worried about Adebayo knocking down shots at any point this season, it’s about taking them. And he did that in the season opener.

#2: Jimmy Butler’s new defensive role enhances his best skill, as I expected.

Something I’ve talked about all off-season after PJ Tucker and Kyle Lowry were acquired is the shift for Jimmy Butler’s role. Not offensively, but the change in defensive positioning for him. No more being inserted into the action play after play throughout a game, since they have enough bodies to throw at those guys now. That meant Butler would be lined up on the weak-side a majority of the time, doing what he does best: awaiting timely doubles. As I said in my game preview, Butler’s defensive signal will be Giannis Antetokounmpo’s post-up game. When he pivots inside with his back against the perimeter, a Butler sprint would closely follow. That’s exactly what happened tonight, and although it wasn’t a flurry of steals on the stat sheet, it was forced steals and plenty of deflections.

#3: It only took one game to figure out PJ Tucker’s fit on this Heat team.

After Pat Riley’s press conference this week, now you know why he went on and on about the likable traits of PJ Tucker with this team. Toughness, scrappiness, and defensive traits that aren’t teachable. You can just tell that this game was personal for him, and he seemed to let that be known. Being vocal after big plays, eyeing that Milwaukee sideline, and even throwing in the occasional hard foul. Seeing him dive over the Bucks bench with a comfortable lead in the second quarter just speaks volume. He’s going to defend at a high level and knock down that corner triple at a high level, but the other stuff is what truly makes this pick-up a big deal. This Heat team missed that loud voice next to Butler, and now they have it.

#4: Simply, Tyler Herro’s role is quite perfect.

When I talked to Max Strus earlier in the week about his offensive role off the bench, he quickly premised it by saying, “The second unit is to get Tyler going.” And well, that is far from an overstatement. Even when Butler or Lowry are lined up next to Tyler Herro, they immediately revert to an off-ball role, knowing that Herro needs the ball in his hands to work. Twelve shot attempts at the half for Herro was a team high, which is interesting for a guy who is coming off the bench. But that’s what the Heat want. Fire away in that scoring role, and don’t worry about the other elements. Let the play-making and facilitating stuff happen in the natural flow of the game, and simply: just get buckets.

#5: Oh, this isn’t just a defensive team.

When looking at this Heat team on paper, the outlier is that this is a hefty defensive group. Aside from Herro and Robinson, the rotation is pretty much filled with tough, defensive minded guys which is something they’ve lacked recently. But don’t sell the theme of this group short: they can score the basketball. 72 first half points can pretty much tell the whole story, but there’s a difference with that statement. They didn’t have a Jaylon Brown scoring 25 before the half or Julius Randle scoring 22. The scoring on this team was spread out evenly, which will most likely be the case throughout this 82 game season. Butler will get his points, Adebayo will emerge, Lowry will step back at times, and Herro will do his thing. And that’s what you want.

EDITOR’S NOTE: FIVE REASONS SPORTS IS PARTNERING WITH OUR GOOD FRIENDS OVER AT PICKUP TO GIVE AWAY FANATICS ($20 VALUE) TO 3 LUCKY WINNERS. ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS MAKE YOUR PICK ON THE PICKUP PROP IN THIS ARTICLE AND FOLLOW THE STEPS TO VERIFY YOUR PICK FOR A CHANCE TO WIN.

Loading
Loading...

Everything Tradeshows is a one-stop-shop for trade show exhibit rentals and custom exhibit display purchase solutions to companies of all sizes.

Visit them at EverythingTradeShows or call 954-791-8882

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Season Opener Scouting Report

The Milwaukee Bucks came out hot to kick off their season on Tuesday night against the Brooklyn Nets, and that’s something Miami truly needs this season as well: to come out hot.

Pat Riley went into detail in a Tuesday afternoon presser about the strength of their early season schedule, highlighting the fact that they have 13 road games in their first 20 and started out the year 7-14 last season.

So, it’s pretty clear: an opening night win at home against the Bucks could truly put this Heat team on the right track.

The last time I wrote up this type of scouting report was throughout the Heat’s first round playoff series last season against……oh, the Milwaukee Bucks. But this time around, there are different circumstance in terms of roster construction.

Anyway, let’s take a dive into each side of the ball for Miami, finding ways they can come out the gates firing with this new team…

Offensively:

Attacking Switches: A Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry Staple, A Bam Adebayo Necessity

One of the main reasons Milwaukee was able to put it together last season was their willingness to become more flexible on the defensive end come playoff time. Living or dying by that drop coverage can get you in trouble with certain teams, and one of those teams is this new look Heat team.

But on the way to an NBA Championship last season, the switching scheme became a staple of their defensive ways. Guys like Jrue Holiday and Giannis Antetokounmpo can truly swarm you when blitzing a PnR, which was a decent refresher for that group of guys.

Now, it’s time for Miami to adjust to the adjustment. A staple of Jimmy Butler’s game is taking advantage of mismatches in the half-court, pulling a slow-footed big out to the perimeter before exploding by for a quick bump and yell to get to that coveted free throw line.

That’ll always be there for Butler, but that isn’t the true difference maker. Kyle Lowry is pretty much in that same category as well, but he does it in a completely different way. He doesn’t create mismatches for himself. He creates them for his big man down low.

And well, it’s why Bam Adebayo can truly exploit the defense, which will be a common takeaway all season.

Adebayo is going to draw a Grayson Allen or George Hill on the block once or twice, and there must be a mental preparation for those possessions. No quick turnaround inside the free-throw line to let them off the hook. No kick-outs to Lowry so he can try and drum something up against a big. Just play bully ball.

Why is this so important? Well, it’s not just about putting points on the board on those limited possessions. It’s about what will closely follow.

After watching the Bucks face the Nets on Tuesday, a major takeaway about Antetokounmpo is that you have to account for him on the defensive end at all times, and even more so when he’s on that weak-side lurking.

With that said, Adebayo taking advantage of the mismatch once or twice in the first half means that he’ll be pulling Antetokounmpo in closer and closer, which is the ultimate goal for Miami’s offensive structure. Adebayo can then land in his comfort zone of skip passes and over the top play-making.

It’s why that one element of attacking the switch opens everything else up. If that aggression isn’t seen from the jump, there’s a good shot this could be one of those games in the mud.

Tyler Herro’s Broader Bag = Extensive Combos Against Drop in the Mid-Range

Switching may be a staple for them, but Brook Lopez continues to be fantastic in that drop on a regular basis. It was the one area that I said could be exploited in the playoffs last year by Goran Dragic, Kendrick Nunn, and Tyler Herro.

The one thing about all three of those guys last year was that mid-range game was extremely one dimensional. It was that elbow pull-up each and every possession, and those weren’t even falling in that series. No adjustment was needed from the Bucks, since Miami was basically hurting themselves.

Now without Dragic and Nunn, that mid-range game declined in a way that Milwaukee can sustain that drop, right? Wrong.

Aside from going through other options for Miami inside the arc, Tyler Herro is the guy who can really get up those shots that he loved in the preseason. It’s no longer the simple, linear pull-up. It’s pull-back dribbles, step-backs, and over the top jumpers with that high lift from that in-between game.

And that can be killer.

As Max Strus said when I talked to him after practice, “The second unit is to get Tyler going.” He’s going to be getting up a ton of shots night in and night out, but Thursday’s match-up may even mean it’ll be on the higher end with what will be given to him.

Can he carry over that preseason success? The door is open for him to kick it off in the right way.

Defensively:

PJ Tucker on Brook Lopez, Bam Adebayo on Giannis Antetokounmpo?

When looking at pure on-paper match-ups for these two teams, it’s pretty intriguing: Lowry on Holiday, Robinson on Allen, Butler on Middleton, and well, the front-court match-ups.

It feels like it’ll be a deal where they mix it up a bit throughout, especially with Coach Spo not wanting Adebayo to get in early foul trouble, but I think that adjustment will be made once we hear that first whistle.

PJ Tucker’s size doesn’t equate to length on the 7 foot Brook Lopez, but it does equate to width. He can defend the post at a high level against bigger guys, and Miami’s scheme will have plenty of doubles flying from all over the place.

Loading
Loading...

What is the difference between this discussion now and last year? The match-ups can actually be debated.

The same goes for the way the roster was constructed in the bubble, where Adebayo and Jae Crowder could constantly rotate match-ups, while throwing in Andre Iguodala and Soloman Hill to muck things up on Milwaukee’s solid front-court.

Lowry gave this team added offensive weapons, but Tucker gave this team added defensive weapons. And the on-paper match-ups tell the whole story in that sense.

The Jimmy Butler Specialty Incoming: Timely Doubles

As I’ve said many times: Jimmy Butler’s best skill in the game of basketball is weak-side defending.

He’s going to be outside the action much more this season which is favorable to him, but the Middleton match-up will most likely pull him into a heavy on-ball defensive role this Thursday.

Some interesting wrinkles that Brooklyn through at Antetokounmpo were constant doubles, but the timing of them always seemed off, leading to a 32/14/7 night. But since this is a “scouting report,” there’s a specific moment when that double is needed, and Butler will pick up on this quickly.

One thing about Butler is that he’s a sneaky doubler. He waits for that guy with the ball in his hands to turn away, then he instinctively sprints at him from the backside. Similarly, Antetokounmpo is a guy who turns into those pivoted stances inside the arc, opening up that gateway for Butler.

Leaving his back vulnerable on the block with Tucker or Adebayo holding him down in the post will be a good starting point for the defensive structure. Make Antetokounmpo uncomfortable, force him into that extra pass, and key-in on those close-outs that this starting lineup will be so good with.

In my opinion, this should be a 3+ steal night for Butler with the new play-style.

Wild Card:

Taking Advantage of Milwaukee’s Full Bench Lineups

Miami has played victim recently with opposing teams exploding when the top dogs were getting a breather on the sideline, but that won’t be the case much this year for the Heat.

It’ll be a revolving door of Butler, Lowry, and Adebayo, while Herro’s offensive emergence will take enough pressure off of them while they’re on the floor.

For Milwaukee, there are a few stretches that Miami will have to take advantage of. For one, Jrue Holiday’s status may be in question after he left Tuesday’s game with a heel contusion, so these “lineups” I’m discussing will be seen even more often.

Antetokounmpo, Middleton, and Holiday all found themselves on the sideline early in that season opener, and that should be a signal to just go, especially for the team’s energy flame Tyler Herro.

That’ll be the wild card. Upon seeing a five-man group of the supporting cast, it’ll be time for Miami to really capitalize in ways so many teams did against them last season.

“He wasn’t happy with losing and getting swept and being embarrassed,” Pat Riley said about Jimmy Butler’s attitude following that playoff series. And now it’s time to showcase that in a brand new season, with a brand new team, and a brand new mindset.

This team may have gotten plenty of physical rest, but mental rest was also taken into account. And that element was even more important for this group of guys.

 

Everything Tradeshows is a one-stop-shop for trade show exhibit rentals and custom exhibit display purchase solutions to companies of all sizes.

Visit them at EverythingTradeShows or call 954-791-8882

Five Takeaways from Pat Riley’s Presser

Pat Riley spoke with media today before the season opener this Thursday, and the overall vibe was completely different from when he spoke a couple months ago after the loss to Milwaukee in the post-season.

Riley actually embodied something in this presser that the entire team will embody this season: being refreshed. A new team, a rested mind and body, while carrying over that same winning mentality is both the Riley and Miami Heat way.

Anyway, following a ton of topics to cover from this 45 minutes presser, here are some things that stuck out to me:

(Plus an audio form of Five on the Floor on this topic)

#1: Bam Adebayo might be a “flat out scorer this year.”

There’s never a better place to start in these type of evaluation pieces than Bam Adebayo. Riley started out saying that Adebayo has “gotten extraordinarily better than last year.”

He mentioned some things regarding his role last season, such as being that much needed ball handler and facilitator with the guys around him, but following some off-season additions, the goal posts are moving.

Fastly.

Riley adds, “I think you might see a flat out scorer this year.” And as many have added in the past, that places this Miami Heat team in a completely different tier. If Adebayo is your leading scorer on a team with Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, and an emerging Tyler Herro, the league must watch out.

This isn’t just Heat twitter fantasizing over offensive tweaks that may never ultimately happen. This is Pat Riley once again saying to the public that this transformation is upon us. And well, as Riley alluded to a bit in the presser, Lowry and Butler will be major reasons for that.

#2: The closing lineup factor isn’t a surprise.

The question started with a general evaluation of Duncan Robinson, and his goal to close games with this Heat team. Riley jokingly responded, “He’s got to be on a bad team,” in terms of him closing every game since he’d be the best player on a bottom tier ball club.

In this scenario, the way to close games is pretty straight forward for Riley: “They know now that if you want to be on the court at the end of the game that my defense is not gonna hurt me in the last 4 or 5 minutes.”

This type of discussion pretty quickly turned into an interesting topic that’s been brought up a ton recently: will Herro or Robinson be the one closing?

Riley gave his opinion, saying, “Tyler is probably gonna be on the floor, because he’s a multi faceted player.”

Just from what I’ve seen so far, aside from Herro’s string of masterclass performances, it seems like they need that looser offensive piece late in games who can handle over the spacer.

But yet again, there won’t be a set closing lineup. Spo will do his usual tinkering, but we do know the four who will be on the floor at all times.

Yes, four…

#3: PJ Tucker isn’t just an Erik Spoelstra guy. He’s actually a Pat Riley guy.

When PJ Tucker was signed this off-season, the initial thought was that this is an Erik Spoelstra guy. Doesn’t explode in the scoring column in any capacity, but he plays hard, plays his role, and he can be trusted late in games.

Yet, the respect Pat Riley has for him seems to be even greater.

“He’s 3 times more than I thought he was. If I wanted to put on a defensive clinic, I would use him.” Riley continued to praise his ability to defend in every way, using perfect close-outs, positioning, and even screening on the offensive end.

As I said before, we all know Butler, Lowry, and Adebayo will be out there when that final buzzer sounds every night, but Tucker is in that grouping as well. This team needed extra defensive size, and although his length on paper doesn’t project that to be true, his on-court presence certainly does.

#4: Max Strus is high on this team’s “young guy” big board.

Pat Riley brought up the “young guys” on this team quite frequently. Not just bringing them up in terms of their age, but also the ways they can contribute at this stage.

That list clearly consisted of Adebayo, Herro, and Robinson, but one other name kept being thrown in when being discussed: Max Strus.

Now, this may not seem to be a big deal to many, since he’s going to be a major piece of this team’s bench unit this season, but the respect level among his peers has been incredible. It’s not just his teammates and coaches either. It’s the business man upstairs as well.

Riley joked, “His agent is on the phone all the time trying to extend his contract.” And well, pretty soon those conversations will be progressing even further. He puts in the work, and he produces at a high level on the big stage. There’s no doubt he’s in store for a big season.

Loading
Loading...

#5: The season focus: early season success.

After discussing a lot of individual players, there was one general theme that floated around a couple times in this press conference: the strength of the early-season schedule.

This team had to deal with a bunch of things to begin the season last year regarding Covid, and it lead to a 7-14 start. Due to that being the case, it seems like there’s some extra initiative to come out the gates hot.

To talk about this on a much smaller scale, opening night could really propel this team into a hot start. Taking down the defending Champs, in the Milwaukee Bucks, to kick off their season will give them the ultimate confidence to keep it rolling.

And as Riley noted today, that Bucks team has a bunch of versatile bigs to try and match-up with. But well, Miami added some size of their own, and one of them was taken from that Bucks team.

On this team that is built for the playoffs, a hot regular season start can move them up to that next tier.

 

Everything Tradeshows is a one-stop-shop for trade show exhibit rentals and custom exhibit display purchase solutions to companies of all sizes.

Visit them at EverythingTradeShows or call 954-791-8882

Adam Silver, commissioner of the NBA

Covid-19: Will unvaccinated NBA players be paid for games they miss?

Will unvaccinated NBA players not be paid for games they miss?

 

All NBA fans will be eagerly looking ahead to the start of the 2021/22 season in mid-October. A return to the full 82-game schedule is welcome and everyone will be looking to see how their favorite side gets on. With the Bucks looking to retain their crown from 2021, it could be a tremendous year in store – especially if the Heat do well!

 

If you cannot wait for the new season to kick into gear, it can be fun to look around and predict who might win the 2022 Finals. The current odds that most online sportsbooks are giving show the Nets and LA Lakers as favorites. With the Bucks not far behind, it could be a three-horse race for the title. Some fans will even place a futures sports bet on the team of their choice and hope to win big if it comes off! If you also find sportsbook promo codes, you can enjoy a risk-free way of backing NBA sides such as Miami Heat.

 

One thing that could impact on how well sides do this year is players missing games because of Covid. This may well see teams without important players for key games. One story you may have heard is that unvaccinated players will not be paid for games they miss – but is this true?

 

Unvaccinated NBA players not to be paid for missing games

 

A recent announcement from the NBA itself has confirmed the stories are true. Players who have not been vaccinated in line with local legislation will not be paid for games they miss due to Covid. It has also been reported that players who are unvaccinated cannot take part in home games in the coming year. Although it is thought that around 90% of the league’s players have had the jab, this still leaves a number who will feel they are being discriminated against for making a personal choice regarding their bodies.

 

How might this affect the coming NBA season?

 

The big question for fans is just what an effect such a ruling will have on the coming NBA season. The two main dangers may lie in top players leaving the sport altogether, and the impact on morale. Players who are punished for exercising their right not to be vaccinated may well walk away from the sport and leave it without the best talent. In addition, players who aren’t paid but stick around may be bad for team morale and hamper how the side performs. With so many players already vaccinated, though, it must be said that the overall impact of this ruling may not be too big.

 

NBA players punished for refusing vaccine

 

Recent comments from the NBA make it clear that unvaccinated players will be punished for their decision. By not paying people who refuse the Covid vaccine, it sets out a clear and – some would say – dangerous precedent in sports. As the observations from the Heat’s first pre-season match are drawn, this is certainly food for thought.

 

Max Strus: “People Kinda Know Who I Am Now”

Max Strus and Tyler Herro are going to be the two youthful pieces off the bench this season for Miami, but that isn’t the only comparison those two draw. Even without the experience compared to those around them, both of them ooze confidence in similar ways.

I talked to Max Strus for a bit after practice, where he discussed some things heading into the season opener this Thursday.

When I asked him about being that run igniter and offensive spark most nights for this team, he responded, “If I’m open, I’m gonna shoot every time. I have the confidence in myself, my teammates have the confidence to put me in those situations to shoot and score.”

“But I’m still trying to find my role with everything,” he continued. “And obviously the second unit is to get Tyler going and just for me to provide spacing for him. But any open shot I’m gonna take.”

Relating Strus’ situation to Duncan Robinson over and over can get a bit old, but the early stages definitely are similar. Robinson jumped into a starting lineup, while opposing defenses didn’t even know his name. Fast forward to today, it’s a completely different story.

When I asked Strus if he’s being defended any differently from his minutes last season to this preseason, he said, “People kind of know who I am now. You can tell when I’m running down the court other defenders are yelling ‘find Strus, find Strus.’ So yeah you can definitely tell that teams are starting to find out what I do and what I’m good at. So I’m definitely getting guarded a little bit differently, not as bad as Duncan yet, but we’ll see if it gets there.”

Loading
Loading...

One thing about this team is that it’s a very vocal group. They’re loud on the floor, they’re loud with each other, and that trait definitely fits the Miami Heat way.

I asked Strus if he notices these practices being louder than they were previously, and if he fits that mold of holding others accountable and being in each other’s ear constantly. He responded, “I want to win. We all want to win. So communication, putting each other in the best situation possible to be successful is what we all want to do. Having guys like that who are here to help, here to make you better is right where I want to be.”

Lastly, a lot of these guys have their circle of players in the league that they watch film on to try and learn from or pick-up specific skills. When I asked Strus who those guys are, he said, “I’ve watched a lot of Klay Thompson.”

He also mentioned Joe Harris is somebody he’s honed in on, saying “I’ve gotten Joe Harris a lot, and I’ve gotten to know him pretty well too.”

The interesting thing about Strus focusing on these guys is that it’s not all about shooting when evaluating them: “Defensively, like Klay Thompson was an elite defender, so trying to learn from him. Just where to be in the right spots, and Joe Harris is actually a pretty good defender too. So those guys are great all-around players, so I’m just trying go through them and watch and learn from them.”

Max Strus is going to be in a pretty favorable role this season. Weak-side offensive spotting, waiting for the multiple initiators on the floor to hit him in his spots, and ultimately being that spark that he knows he can be on this team.

“People kinda know who I am now.” Yes, they do. And that X on his back is only going to grow this season.

Yet, he’s somehow ready for whatever is thrown at him, since he “wants to win. We all want to win.”

 

Everything Tradeshows is a one-stop-shop for trade show exhibit rentals and custom exhibit display purchase solutions to companies of all sizes.

Visit them at EverythingTradeShows or call 954-791-8882

Goldie’s Week 6 NFL Picks: Bet on the ‘Boys (and more)

Goldie:

All Time Record: 175-81          

Vs. Spread: 124-128-1

 

21-22 Season:  49-26               

Vs. Spread: 35-39-1

 

Week 4 Record : 12-3                 

Vs. Spread: 5-9-1

 

Guarantee All Time: 12-7       

21-22 Season: 3-2

 

Upset All Time: 12-6              

21-22 Season: 3-2

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 25-3              

21-22 Season: 9-2       

Week 5: 2-0

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: DAL -3.5

Dallas Cowboys (4-1) @ New England Patriots (2-3)

Vegas Picks: DAL -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 33-24

Jeff and I are doubling up on the Cowboys this weekend! Not often Jeffy and I cook up this much of a lock, but we saw the minor point spread that Vegas is giving the ‘Boys and we had to jump on it. Dallas has won four straight and is starting to look like the real deal. Dak has been clicking with all of his weapons, and Dan Quinn has that defense looking legit. On the flipside, the Pats have been a mystery this season, and their inconsistency leaves you wondering which Pats team is going to show up. Don’t trust rookie Mac Jones to keep pace with Dak and the ‘Boys in a shootout. Cowboys will sail to victory in New England this Sunday, both Jeffy and I GUARANTEE IT!

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

Los Angeles Chargers (4-1) @ Baltimore Ravens (4-1)

Vegas Picks: BAL -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Chargers Win 33-31

A lot of similarities between these two AFC powerhouses. Both 4-1, both coming off huge comeback wins at home, and both have superstar QBs under the age of 25. However, a few of Baltimore’s wins have been a little flukey. Without a 66 yard game winning field goal and a miraculous late game comeback against the Colts last week, the Ravens would be a 2-3 football team. Whereas the Chargers have been beating very good teams in very competitive games. This one’s a pick ‘em for sure, but a hunch tells me Herbert and the Chargers go in and steal this one on the road. UPSET!

 

*****

Loading
Loading...

*****

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: MIA -3

Miami Dolphins (1-4) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5) (LONDON)

Vegas Picks: MIA -3

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 23-16

After a tough outing in Tampa last week, Jeffy and I agree it’s time for the ‘Fins to bounce back. Since their week one win in New England, Miami has completely fallen apart. Losers of four straight (3 by double digits), the Dolphins offense has been basically nonexistent. However, the offense should look much better this weekend, as they are getting starting QB Tua Tagovailoa back from broken ribs. A loss to the frail Jaguars would certainly put Brian Flores on the hot seat, as this is a make or break game for the Fins. Never fade the Crazy Uncle, FINS UP in London. 

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: GB -6

Green Bay Packers (4-1) @ Chicago Bears (3-2)

Vegas Picks: GB -6

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 31-20

Chicago looked pretty good last week in their win versus the Raiders, but take that win with a grain of salt as the Raiders were in the midst of all kinds of chaos. Meanwhile, Green Bay has arguably looked like the best team in the NFC during the past four weeks. Also, history is on the Pack’s side as Aaron Rodgers is 20-5 all-time against the Bears. So much going for Green Bay right now, plus I don’t trust rookie QBs in divisional games. Rodgers over Fields. Packers over Bears. Jeffy has spoken. 

 

Rest of Week 6:

 

Minnesota Vikings (2-3) @ Carolina Panthers (3-2)

Vegas Picks: MIN -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Vikings Win 32-28

After their 3-0 start, the Panthers have seemed to lose their mojo a bit. Being without star RB Christian McCaffrey for the third consecutive week certainly won’t help either. On the flipside, the Vikes are getting their star RB, Dalvin Cook, back from injury this week. Panthers D and home crowd should keep this one close, but can’t trust the Cats offense to move the ball consistently without CMC. Minny gets back to .500 with a road win this Sunday. 

 

Los Angeles Rams (4-1) @ New York Giants (1-4)

Vegas Picks: LAR -8

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 31-17

This one is a mismatch across the board. The Rams have a better offense and defense than the Giants. LA also has the edge in quarterback play, and the one advantage the Giants would have isn’t even available for this one after RB Saquon Barkley suffered a significant injury early in last week’s contest. Rams cruise to victory in the Big Apple. 

 

Houston Texans (1-4) @ Indianapolis Colts (1-4)

Vegas Picks: IND -10

Goldie’s Take: Colts Win 24-17

Colts look to bounce back after their late game collapse last Monday against Baltimore. The Texans, on the other hand, surprised many by taking the Pats to distance last week. Other than the beatdown they suffered at the hands of the Bills, Houston has hung in there against some real teams this year. No doubt the Colts should win this one, but I like the fight of Houston to keep this divisional matchup close. 

 

Kansas City Chiefs (2-3) @ Washington Football Team (2-3)

Vegas Picks: KC -6.5

Goldie’s Take: Chiefs Win 38-23

No, that’s not a typo. The Chiefs are 2-3 through five games, but they’re still the Chiefs. Even after a shaky start, they’re still given the third best odds to win the Super Bowl this season by most sportsbooks. I think this is the week they breakout of the slump and get back to their high-powered winning ways. Washington’s defense hasn’t been nearly as good as advertised this season, and I don’t see Taylor Heinicke keeping up with Mahomes in a shootout. Chiefs coast to a win in the nation’s capital. 

 

Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) @ Detroit Lions (0-5)

Vegas Picks: CIN -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 30-20

I have never been so fascinated by such a bad team, but for some reason the Lions have been wildly entertaining this season. Dan Campbell getting emotional after last week’s tough loss to Minnesota makes me want to run through a wall for that man. I wonder if his players feel the same way. The Lions are going to win one eventually, but I don’t think this is the week. All emotions aside, Cincy has been great this season, and I fully expect Joe Burrow and the Bengals to take care of business in Mo-town this Sunday. 

 

Arizona Cardinals (5-0) @ Cleveland Browns (3-2)

Vegas Picks: CLE -3

Goldie’s Take: Browns Win 31-30

Although they got the win, Zona’s offense was clearly hindered in their 17-10 win over the Niners. This was their first game where they didn’t score 30+, and they have another tough defense in front of them as they head into the Dawg Pound. However, that defense might not be as strong as usual as the Browns have a lengthy injury report heading into week 6. Cleveland had 17 players on the injury report Wednesday. Some of the names included defensive studs like Jadeveon Clowney and Myles Garrett in addition to both star RBs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt also being listed as questionable. So this one could very well come down to who’s healthy. Picking the Browns to win this one, but bet on Cleveland with caution as some of their stars are iffy to play. 

 

Las Vegas Raiders (3-2) @ Denver Broncos (3-2)

Vegas Picks: DEN -4

Goldie’s Take: Raiders Win 28-22

Put all the chaos that has surrounded the Raiders recently aside for a minute, and realize that there is a football game to be played here. And when it comes to football, I think the Raiders have the advantage. Denver has still yet to beat a legitimate team, and I’m questioning their validity at 3-2. Banking on players and staff in Raiders locker room to act as professionals and focus on football. Taking Raiders to UPSET, but bet on this game with heavy caution as there are too many unknowns that go along with this one. 

 

Seattle Seahawks (2-3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3)

Vegas Picks: PIT -5

Goldie’s Take: Steelers Win 26-20

Pittsburgh showed me something last week in their win over the Broncos. They showed me that Big Ben might have some left in the tank after all. Plus Steelers catching a break in this one as Russell Wilson is out with an injury. Don’t trust backup QB Geno Smith to go in and shine under the lights, and Steelers should show up for home fans in Primetime. Venue call!

 

Buffalo Bills (4-1) @ Tennessee Titans (3-2) 

Vegas Picks: BUF -5.5

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 38-28

Buffalo, in my opinion, is far and away the best team in the NFL right now. They’ve outscored their opponents by a combined 115 points in the past four weeks, and doing so against good teams too. This team is firing on all cylinders right now and show absolutely zero signs of slowing down. Picking Bills to win and cover every week until they give me a reason not to.