Goldie’s NFL Best Bets Week 11: Backing the ‘Boys
All Time Record: 211-109-1
Vs. Spread: 152-165-1
21-22 Season: 85-54-1
Vs. Spread: 63-76-1
Week 10 Record : 6-6-1
Vs. Spread: 4-9
Guarantee All Time: 13-11
21-22 Season: 4-6
Upset All Time: 12-11
21-22 Season: 3-7
Crazy Uncle Jeff
All Time: 29-8
21-22 Season: 13-7
Week 10: 0-1
Green Bay Packers (8-2) @ Minnesota Vikings (4-5)
Vegas Picks: GB -1
Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 24-13
Picking Green Bay in this divisional matchup for a number of reasons. First, the Packers defense is really good this season, holding Seattle to a goose egg on the scoreboard for the first time in Russell Wilson’s career last week. Also, Minnesota is wildly inconsistent this season, one week their losing to Cooper Rush and the Cowboys, and the next thing you know they’re beating the Chargers on the road. Never know which Vikings team is going to show up. And most importantly, reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers has been on a tear this season, “He’s a BAAAD MAANN”. Packers win this NFC North showdown, I GUARANTEE IT!
Goldie’s UPSET of the Week
Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: DAL +2.5
Dallas Cowboys (7-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (6-4)
Vegas Picks: KC -2.5
Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 33-30
After a few down weeks from both myself and Crazy Uncle Jeff, we’re going for a big bounce back this week. Jeffy has cooked up THREE LOCKS for you all, and one of them also happens to be the UPSET of the week. We can all agree that the Chiefs this season haven’t looked like the Chiefs we’ve grown accustomed to. One big win against a chaotic Raiders team isn’t going to convince me that “the Chiefs are back”. And on the other side, the Cowboys have significantly outperformed expectations this season. Couldn’t ask for more from Dak and that star studded offense, and the ‘Boys defense has also substantially improved from last season. Cowboys go into KC and UPSET the Chiefs. How ‘Bout Dem Cowboys!
Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: BAL -4.5
Baltimore Ravens (6-3) @ Chicago Bears (3-6)
Vegas Picks: BAL -4.5
Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 26-20
The Ravens look to bounce back after that horrid performance they displayed at the hands of the Dolphins last Thursday night. After missing back to back practices this week, Lamar Jackson was back out there Friday, so Ravens fans (And LJ fantasy owners) can breathe a sigh of relief. A few trends worth noting in this one: Chicago is on an abysmal 0-7 skid straight up AND against the spread when coming off a bye since 2014. Also, Lamar Jackson is a perfect 12-0 versus NFC teams. All these trends continue this weekend as Baltimore leaves the Chi with a W. The Crazy Uncle approves.
Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: CAR -3.5
Washington Football Team (3-6) @ Carolina Panthers (5-5)
Vegas Picks: CAR -3.5
Goldie’s Take: Panthers Win 23-20
Big storyline surrounding this one is Cam Newton’s first start back in Carolina. Fitting that his first start back is against former Panthers head coach Ron Rivera. Rivera drafted Newton, and the duo even made it to a Super Bowl together in 2016. After coaching Newton for years, Rivera should have a pretty good idea about how to stop him, but if you ask Jeffy about it, he’ll say “Ron Rivera couldn’t stop a high school team.” SuperCam and the Panthers get an emotional win in a venue call!
Rest of Week 11:
Indianapolis Colts (5-5) @ Buffalo Bills (6-3)
Vegas Picks: BUF -7
Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 30-24
After their 1-4 start, Indy has rejuvenated their season by winning four out of their last five. This puts them back at .500, right outside the AFC playoff picture. However, this week they have arguably their toughest test so far, having to go on the road and face the mighty Buffalo Bills. Feeding star RB Johnathan Taylor is a recipe for Colts to stay in this one, but I trust Buffs to take care of business at home.
Detroit Lions (0-8-1) @ Cleveland Browns (5-5)
Vegas Picks: CLE -11.5
Goldie’s Take: Browns Win 28-17
Browns are in the midst of a streaky 2-4 slide, but get a much needed boost to their offense with star RB Nick Chubb set to return. Even with the status of QB Baker Mayfiled up in the air, I still have Browns holding on for the win at home. Lowly Lions should have a very hard time moving the ball on Myles Garrett and stingy Cleveland D, and Chubb should have a big day slicing right through Motown’s weak defensive unit. Browns get the win at home to creep back above .500.
Houston Texans (1-8) @ Tennessee Titans (8-2)
Vegas Picks: TEN -10
Goldie’s Take: Titans WIn 30-17
No matter what the NFL has thrown at them, the Titans have responded. Even without superstar RB Derrick Henry, the Titans find themselves winners of six in a row sitting at 8-2 with the best record in the AFC. On the other side, Houston has lost 8 straight and cannot wait for this season to be over. Both of those trends continue as Titans roll past Texans.
San Francisco 49ers (4-5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7)
Vegas Picks: SF -6
Goldie’s Take: 49ers Win 24-20
The Niners salvaged their season with a very impressive upset of the Rams on MNF last week. Their defense gave the star studded Rams a very hard time, and they finally looked like the Niners team that was in the Super Bowl just two seasons ago. However, expect the Jags to keep this one close as they’ve been trending upwards lately, 2-2 in their last four games, including a major upset of the Bills a few weeks ago. Not to mention San Fran could be on letdown watch after such a monumental win last week against the Rams. Picking Niners to get the win… but banking on a Jacksonville home cover.
Miami Dolphins (3-7) @ New York Jets (2-7)
Vegas Picks: MIA -3.5
Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 23-15
Lots of factors pointing to a Dolphins win on Sunday. Fins have picked up the pieces a bit lately winning two in a row, including a shocking upset of the Ravens on TNF. Meanwhile, the Jets enter this one after losing two back to back, including getting annihilated at home by the Bills last week. Also, Fins have owned the Jets of late, 8-2 in their last ten and 3-1 under Brian Flores. Old, stationary Joe Flacco should have a tough time dealing with ‘Fins blitz-heavy defense. Expect a low-scoring game, as Tua should be able to game-manage Miami to their third straight victory.
New Orleans Saints (5-4) @ Philadelphia Eagles (4-6)
Vegas Picks: PHI -2
Goldie’s Take: Eagles WIn 27-23
Big NFC playoff implications in this matchup. Currently Saints hold one of the final Wild Card spots in the NFC, with the Eagles lurking right behind them. Saints are losers of two in a row after their big upset of the Bucs a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Eagles enter this one after destroying the Broncos on the road. It seems Philly’s offense has finally found its identity as a running team rather than a passing team. Philly is 0-4 at home this year, while the Saints are on an impressive 16-4 road heater. Both of those trends are due to come to an end this weekend as Philadelphia finally gets to see their Eagles fly high with a home win.
Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders (5-4)
Vegas Picks: CIN -1
Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 28-26
After red hot starts, both of these teams have dropped their last two, and are starting to lose their validity. The Raiders offense hasn’t looked the same since the departure of speedy WR Henry Ruggs III, and Bengals have had two weeks to stew after getting demolished at home by division rival Cleveland. However, Cincy does have a significant prep/rest edge as they’re coming off a bye, and the Raiders played Sunday night. This game is a complete toss up in my opinion, but give me Burrow and the Bengals to steal one on the road.
Arizona Cardinals (8-2) @ Seattle Seahawks (3-6)
Vegas Picks: ARI -2.5
Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 28-24
For the third straight week Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is listed as questionable heading into Sunday, and they have already ruled out WR Deandre Hopkins. The past two weeks we have seen Kyler go to inactive status and backup Colt McCoy has seen the past two starts. So Kyler’s “questionable” designation will truly be a gametime decision. Also, Seattle is hanging by a thread in the NFC playoff race and a loss could pretty much end their season. Last week we saw Russell Wilson get shutout for the first time in his career. I’m expecting a huge bounce back performance from Russ and this Seahawks offense. Also making this one a bit of a venue call as Seattle is still one of the most hostile environments to play in the NFL. UPSET!
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1) @ Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)
Vegas Picks: LAC -6
Goldie’s Take: Chargers Win 31-14
After the hot start, the Bolts have started to slip a bit, losing three out of their last four. However, this week they have a SNF home game against the Steelers, who just tied the winless Lions. Big Ben has been ruled out for this contest, and Pittsburgh already has a hard enough time scoring points with Big Ben. It very well could be a disaster without him. I’m fully expecting the Chargers to get off the cold streak and steamroll the Steelers in LA.
New York Giants (3-6) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3)
Vegas Picks: TB -10.5
Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 30-20
The Bucs have been upset in their last two games by teams that they should have beaten. Is it time to start to feel nervous in Tampa? I don’t think so. Yes, those two losses were a bad look, but you’re still 6-3 and completely in control of your own destiny. Oh, and you have the greatest football player to ever play on your team named Tom Brady. The Bucs finally come home on Monday night, and they’ll get back on track with a win. However I could see G-Men slipping in under that hefty point spread.
go jamie !!!