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Goldie’s Week 3 Picks: Betting on Josh Allen, Russell Wilson… and Jacoby Brissett

Goldie:

All Time Record: 144-67          Vs. Spread: 104-104

21-22 Season:  18-12                Vs. Spread: 15-15

Week 2 Record : 9-6                 Vs. Spread: 6-9

Guarantee All Time: 10-6         21-22 Season: 1-1

Upset All Time: 10-5                 21-22 Season: 1-1

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 19-2              21-22 Season: 3-1       Week 2: 2-0

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Seattle Seahawks (1-1) @ Minnesota Vikings (0-2)

Vegas Picks: SEA -1.5

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 31-20

Although the Vikings are desperate for a win and at home, I’m still not comfortable betting against Russell Wilson. Especially considering Seattle is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Tennessee. Russ and the ‘Hawks bounce back and get a win in Minnesota… I GUARANTEE IT!

 

Upset of the Week

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: GB +3

Green Bay Packers (1-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (2-0)

Vegas Picks: SF -3

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 30-24

For the third consecutive week Crazy Uncle is riding with the Packers. Rodgers has never been one to fold in primetime games, plus he’s still salty about the Niners passing on him in the draft years ago. Rodgers makes the Niners pay in an offensive showdown! UPSET!

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: BUF -7

Washington Football Team (1-1) @ Buffalo Bills (1-1)

Vegas Picks: BUF -7

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 24-13

Along with not having a team name, Washington also decides its best not to have a quarterback. Heinicke is going to have a very tough time against a defense that just last week held the Dolphins to a goose egg. Bills stay hot and “circle the wagons” at home this Sunday

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Arizona Cardinals (2-0) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2)

Vegas Picks: ARI -7.5

Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 36-21

Sorry to say it, but it’s going to be another long season for Jags fans. Kyler and the Cards are going to have a field day on this poor Jags D. ‘Zona stays undefeated with a beatdown in Jacksonville. 

 

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) @ Detroit Lions (0-2)

Vegas Picks:

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 31-17

Although I do admire the fight of this feisty Lions team, there’s no way they beat the Ravens this week. Baltimore is riding high after a momentous win against KC last week. Expect that momentum to carry right on into this one for a ‘Birds win. 

 

Indianapolis Colts (0-2) @ Tennessee Titans (1-1)

Vegas Picks: TEN -5

Goldie’s Take: Titans Win 28-24

The Titans looked a lot more like the Titans last week, feeding King Henry 35 carries for 182 yards and a TD. This guy is a monster. Expect a similar game plan this weekend against a desperate Colts team. Titans win a close divisional matchup at home. 

 

New Orleans Saints (1-1) @ New England Patriots (1-1)

Vegas Picks: NE -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Patriots Win 23-20

Jamies and the Saints came way back down to earth last week after obliterating the Packers in week 1. Usually I would take the Saints in a game like this, but they’ve been living out of a hotel for a few weeks now due to the hurricane that struck their hometown. Plus the Pats are at home. Safe play is the pats in this one, although I do expect Saints to keep it close. Venue call.

 

Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-1)

Vegas Picks: KC -6.5

Goldie’s Take: Chiefs Win 40-27

Can you name a more unlucky professional sports franchise other than the LA Chargers? Last week a bad call cost them a win against the ‘Boys, and now they have to go into Kansas City to play an angry Chiefs team. Good luck. Patty and the Chiefs put on a show and get a divisional win for the home fans. 

 

Atlanta Falcons (0-2) @ New York Giants (0-2)

Vegas Picks: NYG -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Falcons Win 28-26

Only 0-2 vs 0-2 battle going on this weekend, and once again I’m puzzled on who to pick for the Atlanta game. This one seems like a pick ’em for me, so I’m going with the more experienced QB. Give me Matty ice and the Birds to pull off a road UPSET this weekend. 

 

Chicago Bears (1-1) @ Cleveland Browns (1-1)

Vegas Picks: CLE -7

Goldie’s Take: Browns Win 31-20

Rookie QB making his first career start against one of the best defenses in the league, AND it’s on the road in the DAWG POUND? The kid is going to struggle. Once again I say the Browns are legit this season. Brownies cruise to a victory at home

 

Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1)

Vegas Picks: PIT -3

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 24-23

Here I go again picking the Bengals to upset for the second consecutive week. I see promise in this Cincy team, the offense has proven they can really move the ball in spurts. They just need to put it all together. Plus Big Ben and TJ Watt both iffy to play… could be just enough to put the Bengals over the hump for a road UPSET!

 

Miami Dolphins (1-1) @ Las Vegas Raiders (2-0)

Vegas Picks: LV -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 21-19

Miami bias may be kicking in a bit on this pick, but hear me out. Yes, Tua is out, but how much of a downgrade really is Brissett from Tua. Brissett has proven he can win games in this league, plus he’ll be far more prepared for this one after taking first team reps all week in practice. I think the Raiders get knocked off their high horse this weekend as the ‘Fins D looks to steal them one on the road. UPSET!

 

New York Jets (0-2) @ Denver Broncos (2-0)

Vegas Picks: DEN -10

Goldie’s Take: Broncos Win 26-13

Denver has been gift wrapped the easiest first 3 games of any NFL team this season. Both New York teams and rebuilding Jacksonville. Broncos will get the win at home and improve to 3-0, but I can’t regard them as “legitimate” until they beat a good team. 

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0) @ Los Angeles Rams (2-0)

Vegas Picks: TB -1.5

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 30-28

Heavyweight bout on SNF includes the only 2-0 vs 2-0 matchup this week. Both of these teams have come out the gates ROLLIN. This very well could be an early season preview of the NFC championship. I think Matt Stafford is anxious to perform on the big stage after all of those years wasting away in Detroit. Plus, the home field advantage should play a factor in this one. Rams win a close one on Sunday night. 

 

Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) @ Dallas Cowboys (1-1)

Vegas Picks: DAL -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 38-27

Interesting stat in this one: ‘Boys have lost 7 consecutive primetime games, whereas the Eagles are 4-1 in their past 5 Monday nights. I expect this game to serve as a trend breaker as I predict the Cowboys offense to score early and score often in this one. Cowboys win in a Monday night shootout. HOW ‘BOUT DEM COWBOYS!

 

Know Your Enemy: Overview of the 2020 Buffalo Bills

The 2020 Buffalo Bills could emerge as the new favorites in the AFC East

A lot has changed in the AFC East in the offseason.

This could finally be the year where a changing of the guard also takes place.

In the first installment of our series “Know Your Enemy”, we take a look at the Buffalo Bills.

Buffalo finished the 2019 regular season at 10-6 before an exit in the Wildcard Round versus Houston.

They added several pieces on both sides of the football, particularly on defense – while also parting ways with some established veterans.

Sean McDermott enters his fourth year (25-23, 0-2) calling the shots in Buffalo, having made the playoffs twice over his first three seasons.

Expectations will be high for the Bills in the new look AFC East, their overall profile is on the rise.

They caught some breaks in 2019, such as avoiding voluminous injuries as the Bills had a league-low 57 different players see action.

Taking all that into account, Buffalo is a sexy pick to make a significant run into the postseason.

Key Departures:

DT Jordan Phillips

EDGE Shaq Lawson

Key Arrivals: 

WR Stefon Diggs

OLB Mario Addison

CB Josh Norman

DT Vernon Butler

OLB A.J. Klein

OT Daryl Williams

 

Bills Keep Depth on Defense

The Bills added a lot of depth to an already superb defense.

Buffalo finished second in the NFL surrendering just 16.2 points per game in 2019, and third in yards allowed at just 298.2.

The Bills were a middle of the pack defense in terms of sacks, finishing 12th with 44 on the year.

Jordan Phillips is a big loss as he cashed in on a career high 9.5 sacks at the right time, signing a 3-year 30M deal in Arizona.

To replace him the Bills brought in Vernon Butler, who at age 25 is coming off his best year.

Bulter had six sacks in 2019 for Carolina after just 1.5 in his first three years combined.

Outside linebackers Mario Addison and A.J. Klein are nice additions to a young linebacker group that lost Shaq Lawson to Miami.

Lawson is also coming off a career year as he finished with 6.5 sacks.

Phillips and Jordan accounted for over a third of Buffalo’s sacks last season, the new players will have to make up a lot of ground.

On the outside the Buffalo Bills secondary is one of the better groups in the NFL.

Tre’Davious White tied for the league high with six interceptions and has emerged as one of the top corners in the game.

While they may not be full of household names, the Bills’ defense has solid depth and talent at all three levels.

Much Needed Help Arrives Outside

Stefon Diggs is the highest profile free agent signing and gives Buffalo a true No. 1 receiver.

Pairing Diggs with speedster John Brown will give opposing secondaries a lot to think about at all levels.

Brown tied for the team lead with six touchdowns and led the team with 72 receptions and 1060 yards.

While Diggs is joining Buffalo after his second consecutive 1000-yard season, he had a career high 1130 yards and 17.9 yards per reception last year.

Cole Beasley was surprisingly effective, joining Brown with six scores and finishing second with 778 yards.

Perhaps the biggest question surrounding Buffalo is how quarterback Josh Allen progresses in a key third season.

 

Allen has been much maligned for his accuracy as shown by his 56.3% completion rate, however he did show significant growth from his rookie season.

His ability outside the pocket makes him ever-dangerous, just ask any fan of the Miami Dolphins.

Allen has three of his four highest quarterback ratings against Miami and gashed the Dolphins’ defense for a career high 135 yards rushing in 2018.

Couple that with his 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions in four games against Miami, Allen seems to save his best for the Dolphins

He can make all the throws necessary and with the addition of Diggs, Allen has someone who runs crisp routes and can get separation which will help the erratic signal caller.

That being said, teams will still try to force Allen beat them more often than not.

FAU grad Devin Singletary looks to build off a solid rookie season and expand his role both on the ground and in the passing game.

 

Singletary finished 2019 with 151 carries for 775 yards and two touchdowns. His 5.1 yards-per-carry ranked seventh in the NFL last year.

So far Frank Gore remains a free agent and a return to Buffalo seems unlikely. T.J Yeldon will likely see some reps as a change of pace, but Buffalo may be one team that utilizes a feature back. Allen was second on the team in 2019 with 510 rushing yards, he could exceed that total this season.

Singletary can stay on the field on all downs and is a great option out of the backfield. He caught 29 passes for 194 yards last year but did struggle at times with drops. Singletary seems to always be moving in the right direction, his 2.7 yards-before-contact was a top-10 mark last year.

Buffalo will need to find a way to bolster an offense that ranked 23rd in the NFL scoring 19.6PPG last year, a mark just .5 points better than the Dolphins.

The addition of Diggs will surely help an offense that finished 26th in yards-per-game (201.8), and if Allen can get his completion percentage over 60% the passing game could become serviceable.

With McDermott at the helm you know the formula will be to control the ball on offense with the run game and play sound defense.

Buffalo is a team with few glaring weaknesses but also few marquee names, a lot of analysis is based on potential.

Time will tell and fans of the Dolphins will get their annual double dose of the Bills, who have won five of their last six games against Miami.

Subscribe to the 3 Yards per Carry podcast here for the latest Miami Dolphins news and follow them on Twitter @3YardsPerCarry.

 

Nik Needham shining in his second stint with the Miami Dolphins

Nik Needham spent his college playing career at the University of Texas at El Paso developing his football skills. The cornerback finished with 213 tackles, 13.5 tackles for a loss and three interceptions. He added a school record of 33 passes broken up in 41 career games.

However, that wasn’t enough to land a spot on Miami’s 53-man roster as the Dolphins waived him on Aug. 31, the final day of roster cuts.

“He came in here, worked hard, got cut – we knew the work ethic was there but got cut,” defensive coordinator Patrick Graham said. ” [Josh Boyer, cornerbacks coach, told him] you’re going to have to transform your body. You’re going to have to – in terms of just how important it is to you, that’s a decision you’re going to have make.”

Needham signed to join the practice squad the following day. He earned a spot n the 53-man roster right before Miami’s game against Washington. Since then, the rookie has made the most out his opportunity.

He tallied a team-high nine tackles in Miami’s win over New York. One of those tackles was a sack of quarterback Sam Darnold, the first of Needham’s career. In Sunday’s win over the Colts he added his first-career interception.

Not only did Needham listen to Graham’s advice, but it is quickly paying off.

“He’s starting to see really the fruits of his labor in terms of the success on the field and he knows he still has a long way to go,” Graham said. “This week [against Buffalo] is going to be a huge challenge with the receivers we’re going to see when they play down here from Buffalo. He’s making steps in the right direction.”

Needham has started four of the last five games for the Miami Dolphins. On Sunday he contributed three passes defended against the Colts.

“Nik played well [against the Colts],” coach Brian Flores said on Monday. “We brought him in as a free agent and he did some good things in OTAs and had some struggles like most rookies do in the preseason and wasn’t quite ready, so we put him on the practice squad. It’s part of their journey, I should say. He spent a few weeks on the practice squad. I think getting released and going through that process took him through a little bit of the reality of what the National Football League could be. He’s turned some things around and he’s still got a long way to go, but all of those things play a role in kind of how we performed yesterday and hopefully he continues to do that.”

Needham’s stock has grown over the last few weeks, but his goal is to help the team.

“It just felt good to contribute to the old guys and help get a win,” Needham said. “That is all I am really worried about – I just want to win. It felt great.”

The Dolphins are working to build on a perfect 2-0 record in November.

“I think over the weeks we are just building chemistry and really play for each other,” Needham said. “Game changing plays happen out there and we don’t back down or give up we just go back out there and fight. That’s the main goal every week.”

Miami will look to make it three-straight wins this Sunday. The Dolphins have a divisional match against the Buffalo Bills at Hard Rock Stadium.