Miami Heat 2025-26 season betting angles and statistical predictions

The Miami Heat walk into 2025-26 with more uncertainty than shine. Last year ended at 37 wins. Books opened this one around 39.5, which feels slightly ambitious but not wild given the landscape. New help arrives in Norman Powell and Simone Fontecchio, plus the hope that Andrew Wiggins looks more like himself again. Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro still set the tone, even if the scoring burden may wobble from night to night.

Public and analysts alike seem split. Some cautious optimism, plenty of wait-and-see. Priced like a play-in outfit rather than a real threat, Miami draws interest from bettors who tend to shop team totals and division prices when the room is lukewarm. The defense still has a decent reputation under Erik Spoelstra. To shift the market, however, the offense needs to rise from the middle of the pack to at least respectable, and quickly.

 

Win total lean and what the models suggest

 

Most futures boards plant the win total at 39.5, with the over drifting around even money and the under a mild favorite. Last season disappointed, but bookmakers cite a softer East and an injection of scoring as reasons for a bump. Powell’s coming off a 21.8 points per game campaign, which is no small thing. Herro and Bam hold the structure together and provide two-way competence, if not star-level shot creation every night.

 

You’ll see projections cluster in the 38–42 range. Some modelers give Miami roughly a coin-flip shot at cracking the top eight; ESPN’s forecast puts the threshold-or-better outcome around 44 percent. The Southeast looks gettable in theory, though +1,000 says the market isn’t exactly leaning in. Integrating Powell, Fontecchio, and development from Kel’el Ware represent the swing factors in beating the line—a trend many will explore via bet builder products, combining win totals, player scoring, and even defensive team props in one ticket.

 

Where they fit in the East pecking order

 

Oddsmakers remain cool on a deep playoff run. Title odds around +15,000 imply a path that probably ends before the conference finals unless something unexpected happens. Division prices sit in underdog territory too. Depth and coaching usually raise Miami’s floor, but the East’s middle tier is crowded and questions about consistent scoring linger.

 

Most projection sets nudge the Heat into the 7–10 range. Bam’s defensive range organizes a lot of the half-court grind, yet any extended absence from a primary scorer could flip a decent season into scramble mode. On paper, they read like a 39–41 win team with roughly a 60 percent chance to make the first round. That could drift up if Powell’s usage scales without a dip in efficiency, or if Wiggins finds his stride as a play-finisher rather than a creator.

 

How the new pieces might reshape the identity

 

The headline is straightforward enough: Miami added on-ball punch and spacing. Powell can create his own shot, which they needed. Fontecchio should stretch the floor and defend capably across spots. If Wiggins’ health holds, he plugs minutes on the wing and gives Spoelstra another lineup lever. Still, the offense needs to settle near league average to clear 40 wins with comfort, and that’s not guaranteed by names alone.

 

Defensively, Spoelstra’s structure tends to land top-15 even when the rotation is banged up. Bam is the quiet engine that covers mistakes and allows switching variety. The ceiling moves if Powell lives near 20 a night rather than sliding back. Kel’el Ware, in year two, profiles as a swing wild card on rim protection and vertical spacing. The first 25–30 games should tell us plenty about the blend, and honestly, about the health luck that has to break at least neutral for a real step forward.

 

Practical betting looks for the 2025 26 campaign

 

If you’re leaning optimistic, over 39.5 at plus money makes sense, especially if you trust Spoelstra to smooth the edges early. There is obvious risk: one key injury or a Powell regression, and the under becomes the safer side. Historically, the market can underrate Miami in October and November, which gives early value on team totals or openers against middling opponents. Division odds in the double digits offer a modest upside if a rival stumbles. 

 

For multi-market approaches, many will use a bet builder to combine Heat win totals with player awards (Most Improved for Powell or Sixth Man for Fontecchio), or parlay season series results against specific rivals. Miami’s long championship number doesn’t demand attention unless a midseason trade shakes their top end. Keep an eye on early shooting splits and availability reports; that’s where most of the edge lives in the first month.

 

Odds snapshot

 

Implied probability is the simple 100 divided by the posted decimal price. Odds last updated September 1, 2025, and pulled from BetUS for consistency.

A quick word on bankroll sense. Futures can look tempting and, sometimes, they are. They’re also fragile if injuries stack up or a team needs longer to click. Set a budget before you start and do not chase. Recheck positions when new information hits. If the signs change, allow your stance to change too. Wager what you can afford to lose and keep the season fun, not stressful.

 

Miami vs. Florida State: Top 25 Showdown at Doak Campbell

Tallahassee, Florida — October 4th, at 7:30 p.m., under the lights at Doak Campbell Stadium. The No. 3 ranked Miami Hurricanes will make the hike up to Tallahassee to face their No. 18 ranked in-state rival. Saturday’s matchup is the 70th meeting between the teams and the first where both are ranked since October 8th, 2016, when the 23rd ranked Seminoles came to Miami Gardens and knocked off the No. 10 ranked Canes 20-19.

Miami leads the all-time series 36-33 and will look to leave the state capital with a huge win in their first conference game of the year. For the Noles, they look to bounce back after their double-overtime thriller against Virginia. Here is what to look for in Saturday’s primetime matchup.

For the Canes

The Miami Hurricanes come into the game 4-0 while sporting a top ten defense in the country. Miami’s defense is anchored by the front, led by Rueben Bain Jr., a surefire first-round pick and game wrecker, and Akheem Mesidor, who has 2.5 sacks and 3 tackles for loss. The defensive line has accrued 8 sacks, 17 tackles for loss, and a whopping 70 pressures. This will be a tough test for FSU’s offensive line, and if Miami wants to win, they must dictate the game and stop FSU’s strong rushing attack.

Offensively, the Canes have displayed great balance. Carson Beck has formed a strong connection with Malachi Toney and CJ Daniels, the rushing attack is putting up 180.5 yards per game, and the Canes are averaging less than a turnover per game. The offense should be able to rely on Mark Fletcher Jr. and CharMar Brown, as FSU just gave up 211 rushing yards to Virginia. However, FSU’s defense should bounce back at home.

The Canes’ balance on both sides of the ball and fierce defense will be their difference maker. It will also be essential to play mistake-free football. They cannot allow Florida State to control the clock, as the Seminoles have a dynamic offense that leads the FBS in points. Not counting the win over Bethune-Cookman, the Canes have won the time of possession battle each week, and they need to keep that formula.

For the Noles

The Seminoles are coming off their first conference game and first loss of the 2025 college football season. They are still a great story with the way they have bounced back after their abysmal 2024 campaign. Thomas Castellanos and the FSU transfers have created the highest-scoring offense in the FBS (albeit against two cupcake opponents) and have playmakers all over the field. Highlighted by Micahi Danzy and Duce Robinson, the Florida State offense is explosive and capable of controlling the clock, but it has a major turnover problem. FSU is averaging 1.5 turnovers per game and committed 3 in their loss to Virginia, which was ultimately the deciding factor. FSU’s newly constructed offensive line will be put to its biggest test when they face the Canes’ defensive front, and the Seminoles will need to hold on to the ball.

On defense, the Noles were embarrassed last week, giving up 46 points to Virginia. After a strong showing against Alabama, a bye week, and two cupcakes, FSU came out flat and it showed. The Seminoles gave up 440 yards, 211 of which came on the ground, and allowed Virginia to convert 7 of 13 third downs. True freshman DT Mandrell Desir is the X-factor in containing Miami’s rushing attack, as he ranks first in run stop rate (26.3 percent) and third in PFF run defense grade (90.2). The rest of the defense will need to keep up with his play along with the likes of Ja’Bril Rawls, Deante McCray, and Darrell Jackson Jr.

For FSU, it will be essential for the defensive intensity to return to that of opening week at home against Alabama. The team played cohesive, mistake-free football and was able to start the year with a bang. They now must repeat that formula to grab a top-five rivalry win.

Closing

Mike Norvell and Mario Cristobal have both been here before. Big game, under the lights, with the future of the season on the line. This Saturday, at 7:30 under the lights of an unhinged newly renovated Doak Campbell Stadium, a rivalry is renewed, legends are made, and another chapter of one of college football’s most storied rivalries is forever marked in history.

Panthers sign Defenseman Niko Mikkola to Eight-Year Extension

The Condor is staying in South Florida

 

Defenseman Niko Mikkola and the Florida Panthers agreed to an eight-year contract extension, the club announced Thursday morning.

 

The deal will kick in during the 2026-27 NHL season.

 

According to TSN’s Pierre LeBrun, Mikkola’s contract comes in at a $5 million average annual value (AAV).

 

“Niko has proven himself to be a dependable defenseman who uses his speed and physicality to impact both ends of the ice,” said Panthers President of Hockey Operations and General Manager Bill Zito. “He was an indispensable piece of our past two championship campaigns, and we are thrilled that Niko will be continuing his career with the Florida Panthers.”

 

In two seasons with the Panthers, the 6-foot-6 defender appeared in 158 regular season games, where he scored 9 goals, 30 assists and 39 points. A key player on the blueline in Florida’s back-to-back Stanley Cup victories, the 29-year-old had 5 goals, 5 assists and 10 points in 46 playoff games with the Panthers since joining the team in 2023.

 

The two-time Stanley Cup champion was entering the final year of a 3-year, $7.5 million deal, which was signed ahead of the 2023-24 season.

 

With this extension, the Panthers have locked up their entire top-4 defense core through the 2029-2030 season: Aaron Ekblad (expires 2033), Gustav Forsling (expires 2032), Seth Jones (expires 2030) and Mikkola (expires 2034).

Miami Dolphins Reunite with Cedrick Wilson Jr. after Tyreek Hill’s Injury

According to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network, the Miami Dolphins are signing wide receiver Cedrick Wilson Jr. off the New Orleans Saints’ practice squad, bringing a familiar face back to South Florida.

Dolphins Sign Cedrick Wilson Jr.

Wilson previously spent two seasons with Miami (2022–2023), recording 34 receptions for 432 yards and three touchdowns. With Tyreek Hill sidelined by injury, Wilson will provide valuable depth to a wide receiver room now led by Jaylen Waddle, alongside Malik Washington, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Dee Eskridge and Tahj Washington.

Waddle recently pointed to Theo Wease Jr.–a preseason standout currently on the practice squad–as a potential contributor, but Wilson’s addition gives the Dolphins an experienced target who will join the active roster immediately.

The 6-foot-2 receiver brings size and system familiarity, having already developed chemistry with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. While Waddle is expected to shoulder the primary workload in Hill’s absence, Miami will lean on Achane, Waller and the supporting cast to help keep the passing attack balanced.

This move marks a timely reunion that could prove critical as the Dolphins look to maintain offensive rhythm without their All-Pro wideout.

 

How Australia’s Active Lifestyle Shapes Casino Gaming Trends

Here’s the thing. Australia moves. People run, ride, swim, walk the dog before breakfast, then play a social game after work. That rhythm shows up in how Aussies spend time online too. Short sessions. Quick hits of progress. Clear goals and rewards. It’s the same feel a lot of casino-style games aim for.

And when you look at the data, the “active” part isn’t a guess. Fresh AusPlay figures say 85% of Australians 15 and up did some sport or physical activity in the last year, with 48% getting active three or more times a week. That’s a lot of people who like to move often, in small windows of time.

So what happens when that lifestyle meets casino gaming trends? You get products built for pace. Games that load fast. Rounds that end quickly. Modes that feel like a workout circuit. Five minutes here. Ten minutes there. The experience fits around life, not the other way around.

Sporty families shape “how” people play

Weekend routines tell the story. Kids’ games in the morning. A barbecue in the afternoon. A quick walk at sunset. That flow encourages “bite-size” entertainment. Casino platforms that win attention in Australia lean on the same logic. Short bursts. Clear levels. Challenges you can finish before the kettle boils. It’s the same reason leaderboards, seasonal events, and simple progress bars work. They feel like sport. You can measure it. You can come back to it.

AusPlay’s new report also shows a big chunk of participation is informal. People get active with friends and family, often outside clubs. That preference maps well to social features in casino games. Think community goals, co-op challenges, or friendly rivalries on a weekly board. It mirrors the way Aussies play a casual game of backyard cricket or join a local parkrun without a lot of setup.

Pokies and culture, without the myths

You’ll hear claims that “almost everyone plays pokies.” Not true. The most recent national snapshot finds around three-quarters of adults gambled on something in the past year, but pokies specifically were about one in three. Lotteries and scratchies still lead participation. So yes, pokies are part of the culture, but not at the level people sometimes quote. 

That matters for design. Slots with a familiar Aussie look still show up. So do quick spins and simple rules. But the bigger trend is about tempo, not just theme. If your life is full of sport and movement, you prefer games that respect your time.

Accessibility and mobile first

Here’s how it works. If most of your day is on the go, you want payments and play that are simple. Australia keeps shifting to electronic and contactless payments. The Reserve Bank’s consumer surveys show the long slide of cash and steady growth in tap-to-pay and phone-based payments. That shift supports quick, mobile sessions. No fuss, no long forms, and less waiting. 

Prepaid options add another layer for people who like control. Neosurf and Paysafecard let you load a fixed amount and keep it separate from your main card. You can pick up value online or through listed outlets, then use a code. It’s tidy, and it fits the “active life, low friction” mindset. 

Two quick examples

Example 1: High activity, short windows. The Australian Sports Commission’s latest AusPlay report shows 66% of Australians are active at least once a week and almost half are active three times a week. That cadence explains why “quick session” games and time-boxed challenges get strong traction. People already plan their days around short activity blocks. Games that fit those blocks win.

Example 2: Mobile wallets are booming. Industry analysis estimated mobile-wallet payments in Australia would surpass 100 billion Australian dollars in 2024 after jumping 58% in 2023. That kind of growth makes fast, in-hand payments a normal expectation, which nudges casino gaming toward mobile-first design and instant flows.

Cross-promos and the local rulebook

Now a reality check. In Australia, the Interactive Gambling Act restricts online casino services. The communications regulator has been active in blocking illegal sites and mirror domains. That shapes how promotions look on the ground. You’ll still see sports-themed events and gamified rewards, but the heavy cross-promos some overseas markets use are limited here by law and enforcement. It’s useful context when you compare what you see in Australia with what shows up in other countries.

What this means for product teams

Design for motion. Assume people will play on a train platform, at halftime, or while the pasta cooks. That means low load times, clear goals, and progress that’s easy to read at a glance. Seasonal cycles tied to local sport help too. Cricket summer. Footy season. Finals weeks. Not with official logos, just with rhythms and challenges that feel familiar.

Keep the money flow simple and flexible. Card on file. Mobile wallet. Prepaid code. Let people add a small amount and play for a short session. That’s how they already pay for everyday things. It should feel the same here. 

Be honest about the rules. Don’t copy a promo you saw in a market with different laws. Australia’s regulator keeps blocking non-compliant services and calling out workarounds. Build for trust, not loopholes. 

Picking sites that fit an Aussie routine

If you’re comparing features, look for fast mobile pages, easy account controls, and clear session tools. Themes that nod to local sport can be fun, but speed and clarity matter more. If you want a plain-English starting point for comparing options, an updated guide to the best Australian online casino can help you sanity-check basics like mobile flow, game pacing, and payment choices.

Bottom line

Australia’s love of sport and the outdoors shapes everything. It sets a tempo for daily life. That tempo carries over to casino gaming. Short, clean sessions. Simple goals. Progress you can see. Payments that work on the go. Follow that playbook and you’ll build something that fits the way Aussies actually live.

Tyreek Hill does a flip in celebration of scoring a touchdown for the Dolphins in the win against the Bears.

The Dolphins Get Their First Win, but at What Cost?

The Dolphins finally got their first win of the season, but it did not come easy, and it did not come without a cost. Miami edged the Jets 27–21 at Hard Rock Stadium, finally showing some of the balance and resilience fans have been waiting for, only to see Tyreek Hill leave with what appeared to be a knee dislocation.

For the first time all year, Miami’s defense made its presence felt on the turnover sheet. Entering the game with zero takeaways, the unit forced three fumbles against New York, a much-needed spark that kept the Jets from ever seizing full control despite running the ball at will.

Because that is still the glaring issue: the run defense. The Jets gashed Miami for 197 yards on the ground at 7.0 yards per carry, with Justin Fields (81 yards, 43-yard TD) and Breece Hall (81 yards) both breaking chunk plays. The Dolphins may have forced turnovers, but they continue to bleed yardage between the tackles and on the edge.

On the offensive side, Mike McDaniel kept the plan simple and stuck to the run. De’Von Achane carried it 20 times for 99 yards and a score, keeping the offense steady even as Tyreek went down. Tua Tagovailoa was not asked to do too much, but when he did throw, he was sharp, completing 17 of 25 passes for 177 yards and two touchdowns, both to Darren Waller in the red zone.

The Jets, for their part, looked dangerous at times. Fields was efficient through the air (20/27, 226 yards, 1 TD, no picks) and showed flashes with his legs. Hall was a dual threat, piling up over 140 total yards. But the three fumbles doomed New York, and Miami capitalized just enough, especially on the Jets 13 penalties for 101 yards, to protect its slim lead down the stretch.

So, the Dolphins got what they desperately needed: a win. They got their first turnovers of the year. They found an offensive rhythm by leaning on the run game. But they also gave up nearly 200 rushing yards and may have lost their most explosive player in the process.

The question now is whether this is a turning point or just a brief reprieve before things get tougher without Tyreek.

Florida Panthers Captain Aleksander Barkov Undergoing Surgery

Florida Panthers captain Aleksander Barkov is undergoing surgery on his right knee after being injured in a training camp practice on Thursday, Panthers head coach Paul Maurice said on Friday.

 

Maurice did not give a timeline for Barkov’s return, however an update on his status is expected to come later on Friday — following his surgery. There’s a possibility the Panthers’ captain will miss the entire 2025-26 season.

 

The non-contact injury occurred after Barkov fell during a drill before making innocuous contact with defenseman Niko Mikkola.

 

After leading his team to a second straight Stanley Cup Final win last June, the 30-year-old Tampere, Finland native was entering his eighth season as captain of the Panthers and 13th NHL season overall.

 

This news comes just weeks after the Panthers announced their other star forward Matthew Tkachuk would be out until at least December after getting offseason surgery for a lower-body injury.

 

In 804 career regular season games, Barkov put up 286 goals, 496 assists and 782 points, while also being one of the top two-way forwards of his era, winning three Selke trophies, with two of those coming in the past two seasons. Across 94 career playoff games, Barkov totaled 25 goals and 56 assists for 81 points.

 

This story will be updated

Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel said he's focused on preparing the team, not his job security.

Dolphins’ 0-3 Hole: Five Tactical Shifts Mike McDaniel Must Make to Salvage the Season

The Miami Dolphins find themselves in a familiar yet troubling position—sitting at 0-3 after devastating losses to the Tennessee Titans, Buffalo Bills, and Las Vegas Raiders. With the franchise’s playoff hopes hanging by a thread and coach Mike McDaniel facing mounting pressure, Miami desperately needs tactical adjustments to turn their season around.

The Dolphins have struggled on both sides of the ball through their first three contests. Offensively, they’ve managed just 56 points total while surrendering 97 to opponents. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown four interceptions against five touchdown passes, completing 69.7% of his attempts for 575 yards. Perhaps most concerning is Miami’s inability to establish any rhythm, averaging just 18.7 points per game—ranking 25th in the NFL.

As Miami prepares for their crucial Monday Night Football clash against the New York Jets, bettors looking to capitalize on potential turnaround narratives should consider different promotional incentives such as the DraftKings promo code to maximize their opportunities on what could be a season-defining contest for both AFC East rivals.

1. Unleash the No-Huddle Attack

McDaniel must immediately implement more no-huddle packages to help Tagovailoa find his rhythm and prevent opposing defenses from making adjustments. The Dolphins quarterback has historically thrived in uptempo situations, and the no-huddle approach could mask some of the offensive line’s protection issues that have plagued Miami early this season.

Through three games, Miami has converted just 19 of 35 third-down attempts (54.3%), a concerning drop from their previous efficiency. The no-huddle can create shorter third-down situations and keep Tagovailoa in advantageous down-and-distance scenarios where his quick release becomes an asset rather than a necessity.

2. Target Cleveland’s Secondary Vulnerabilities

While the Browns boast the league’s top-ranked defense allowing just 204.3 yards per game, they’ve shown exploitable weaknesses in their pass coverage. Cleveland has registered only one takeaway through three games, suggesting their secondary might be ripe for exploitation by Miami’s speed merchants Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

Hill has managed 198 yards on 15 receptions through three games despite the offensive struggles. The Browns’ tendency to focus on stopping the run (they rank third in sacks with 11) could leave favorable matchups in the secondary, particularly if McDaniel can devise quick-hitting routes that neutralize Cleveland’s pass rush advantage.

3. Maximize De’Von Achane’s Efficiency

Despite Miami’s overall offensive woes, De’Von Achane has maintained respectable production with 147 yards on 30 carries (4.9 yards per attempt). However, McDaniel isn’t maximizing Achane’s explosive potential that made him a standout rookie in 2023 when he averaged 7.8 yards per carry.

The key lies in getting Achane more touches in space and utilizing his receiving ability. Last season, Achane caught 87 passes and proved equally dangerous as a pass-catcher. With Miami’s offensive line struggling in pass protection, screens and swing routes to Achane could provide the quick-hitting plays needed to control tempo while leveraging his game-breaking speed.

4. Address Third-Down Defensive Breakdowns

Miami’s defense has been historically poor on third down, allowing opponents to convert at alarming rates. Against Buffalo, the Bills converted 10 of 15 third-down attempts, including several crucial third-and-long situations that kept drives alive. The Dolphins rank 32nd in total defense, surrendering 435 rushing yards and 715 passing yards through three games.

McDaniel and defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver must implement more aggressive third-down packages, potentially bringing additional pass rushers to create pressure while disguising coverage looks. The current passive approach has allowed opposing offenses to methodically move down the field, contributing to Miami’s -5 turnover differential.

5. Establish Early-Down Running Identity

Perhaps the most glaring tactical error in McDaniel’s approach has been abandoning the running game in favor of his preferred passing concepts. Through three games, Miami has rushed just 48 times compared to 89 passing attempts—a concerning imbalance for a team that claimed to prioritize physicality during the offseason.

The Dolphins must commit to establishing Achane and the ground game early in drives, particularly against a Browns defense that has shown vulnerability against the run despite their overall statistical dominance. Cleveland allowed 155 rushing yards to Quinton Judkins in their recent victory over Green Bay, suggesting opportunities exist for a more balanced offensive attack.

McDaniel’s willingness to adapt his system will ultimately determine whether Miami can salvage their season. The talent exists—Tagovailoa, Hill, Waddle, and Achane form a formidable offensive core—but the tactical deployment must evolve. With the Jets looming on Monday night, followed by challenging matchups against Carolina and the Chargers, the Dolphins cannot afford to wait any longer for these adjustments.

The franchise’s playoff drought threatens to extend into a fourth consecutive season without these immediate tactical shifts. McDaniel’s reputation as an offensive innovator hangs in the balance, making Week 4 not just about ending the losing streak, but proving his system can adapt when adversity strikes.

Messi Magic Carries Miami Over the Line

It wasn’t easy, it wasn’t entirely convincing, but Inter Miami managed to come away with a second-straight victory, handing D.C. United their first loss under René Weiler’s tutelage.

 

Miami found themselves overpowered by D.C.’s press and unable to break down their stubborn defense until the 35th minute, when Lionel Messi conjured up a goal out of thin air by placing an inch-perfect lofted pass into the path of Tadeo Allende, who deftly converted the opening goal. However, the visitors did not give up and continued to push Miami deeper into their own half, eventually getting their just rewards as reigning Golden Boot winner Christian Benteke equalized after the break.

 

The Herons needed a quarter-hour to regain the lead, with Jordi Alba teeing up Messi for the second goal. They had a golden chance to double the advantage after winning a penalty, with Messi – having squandered an opportunity from the spot in their previous match – allowing new arrival Matteo Silvetti to take it. Having won the penalty himself, Silvetti looked set to open his account for Miami in just his second match. Instead, he blasted the shot into the top bar. It  nearly came back to bite them, with Baltasar Rodriguez almost giving away a penalty, only for the referee to deem it just outside the box.

 

Ultimately, however, the game came down to one thing: Miami had Messi, and the other team didn’t. The Argentine doubled the advantage in the 85th minute with a delectable long shot, proving yet again why, even at 38 years old, he remains a cut above the rest, and why many pundits like Ray Hudson and Jeyhan Bhindi have dubbed him the greatest soccer player of all time. Whilst Jacob Murrell pulled one back in the final minutes, Miami were able to hold on and prevail with a 3-2 victory thanks to a brace from Messi, who surpassed Sam Surridge as the top scorer in MLS with 22 goals.

 

It was an essential win for Miami, who control their own destiny as they look to win the MLS Supporters’ Shield for the second-straight year. Whereas league leaders Philadelphia Union currently sit atop the table with 60 points, the most they can finish on is 69 points; Miami and Vancouver can both finish on 70 points.

 

It was also the last match of Luis Suarez’s three-match MLS suspension, with the Uruguayan striker set to return on Wednesday for their upcoming trip to New York City FC, before travelling to Canada for their match vs. Toronto FC. Miami will then host Chicago Fire, New England Revolution and Atlanta United before traveling to Tennessee for their final regular season match vs. Nashville SC.

Messi, InterMiami bounce back in style

If revenge is a dish best served cold, then Miami’s came lukewarm.

 

13 days after losing 3-0 to Seattle Sounders in the Leagues Cup Final, Inter Miami fell to a 3-0 defeat to red-hot Charlotte FC in league play, a match that saw Lionel Messi miss a penalty and his compatriot Tomas Aviles see red. With Aviles unavailable, and Luis Suarez serving the second of a three-match suspension following his post-match Leagues Cup Final antics, Miami manager Javier Mascherano found himself in a predicament as to which team to field against Seattle Sounders on Tuesday night. He ended up going with a defense of Ian Fray, Gonzalo Lujan, Maxi Falcon, and Noah Allen, whilst Rodrigo De Paul, Sergio Busquets, Yannick Bright and Jordi Alba made up the midfield; Tadeo Allende and Messi played up top, whilst Oscar Ustari started in goal.

 

Miami came out with a point to prove, needing just 40+ seconds to register a shot on goal, and they broke the deadlock in the 12th minute as Bright robbed Cristian Roldan of possession and allowing Messi to jink past Roldan, attract three blue shirts, before teeing up an unmarked Alba at the edge of the box, who made no mistake with the finish. Miami nearly doubled the lead at the half-hour mark as Busquets fashioned a world-class lofted pass over the top to Messi, who only had the goalkeeper to beat; he took his time, allowing two opponents to close him down, before firing an effort off the post.

 

The Argentine superstar would make amends before halftime, with Alba delivering a remarkable curving cross towards the far post, where Messi was there to tap in the second. De Paul would put the cherry on top in the 52nd minute, firing a trepidatious corner kick into the path of Fray, who obliged him with a bullet header. By the time Obed Vargas pulled one back for the visitors in the 69th minute, it was too little too late.

 

It was a much-needed victory for the Herons, who had taken just five points from their previous five league matches. Miami sits fifth in the Eastern Conference and eighth overall, but they nevertheless control their own destiny as they look to finish with the best regular season record in MLS for the second-straight year. Whilst they will not be imitating last season’s record-breaking points haul of 74, Miami find themselves well-positioned to come away with the Supporters’ Shield award, sitting eight points behind league leaders Philadelphia Union with three games in hand. However, in order to do so, they’ll need to do something they haven’t done since March: be consistent.

 

“When I analyze Miami’s matches, I think they’re so devoid of pace and so predictable, and they’ve got defenders who don’t defend well,” stated ex-Premier League striker Gordon ‘Flash’ Watson. “They need to get some youth up there, get some players who can actually run…Suarez can’t make those runs anymore or finish a game. The balance is all wrong, and I don’t know where the energy is coming from,” added Watson. “You see a lot of these younger teams with more legs on them, I think they’re catching up and overtaking Miami. I also wonder, having played in the Club World Cup and the Leagues Cup, it’s just constant soccer, especially for such an aging squad. When do you get a chance to rest?”

 

Miami will host a newly reinvigorated D.C. United side that has avoided defeat in each of their first four matches under new manager Rene Weiler – including a 1-1 draw vs. Miami in the nation’s capital – before traveling to a New York City FC side that, unlike D.C., is in the playoff race. They will then travel to Toronto before hosting Chicago Fire, New England Revolution and Atlanta United, followed by a regular season finale at Nashville. Whilst they will be keen to come away with a second-straight Supporters’ Shield, they’ll also be aware of the need to rest key players ahead of the postseason in order to avoid a repeat of last year’s first-round elimination to Atlanta.

 

Can Miami finally build up some steam under Mascherano? Stay tuned for Saturday’s pivotal match-up against D.C.